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Category: EU Referendum

Another reason why Cameron shouldn’t hold the referendum next June

Another reason why Cameron shouldn’t hold the referendum next June

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Was this the match that lost the 1970 election for Harold Wilson and ultimately ushered us into the European Community? Most of the country will be focussing on the football next June. Since the second world war, the greatest general election upset was not 2015 nor 1992, but Harold Wilson’s surprise loss in 1970. Most of the polls and the commentariat expected Labour to win a majority comfortably yet the Ted Heath’s Tories won a majority. Some have attributed Labour’s…

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REMAIN drops 2 in new Survation poll for UKIP donor Aaron Banks Leave.EU

REMAIN drops 2 in new Survation poll for UKIP donor Aaron Banks Leave.EU

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The first referendum poll since Cameron’s EU letter REMAIN 38%-2 LEAVE 43% nc DK 19% +2 For the first time in two months there’s an EU referendum poll which has OUT in the lead. It was carried out by Survation for the Aaron Banks Leave.EU organisation which is bidding to be the officially recognised referendum campaign against staying in the EU. Fieldwork for the poll was carried out after David Cameron’s formal move earlier in the week setting out parameters…

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The EU Referendum demographic battlegrounds and boost for SNP in latest Holyrood TNS poll

The EU Referendum demographic battlegrounds and boost for SNP in latest Holyrood TNS poll

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Huffpost EU referendum poll shows battle isYOUNG v OLDMIDDLE CLASS v WORKING CLASS https://t.co/BLuULxNAGi pic.twitter.com/CeOqmo9Oux — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 12, 2015 The pollster was James Morris whose firm polled for LAB at GE2015 and has featured in PB/Polling Matters podcasts. His article linked to above is well worth reading. REMAIN had 3% lead but so much, Morris argues, could depend on Cameron. In Scotland the latest TNS face to face survey on next year’s Holyrood elections provides more good…

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Another day in the great referendum battle – date to be announced

Another day in the great referendum battle – date to be announced

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https://twitter.com/Stronger_In/status/664143550305722368 NHS CE Simon Stevens says it need more cash #LeaveEU https://t.co/NvjRdFD5HC pic.twitter.com/F5SBydvoPH — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 11, 2015 Mission Possible: Meaningless gestures presented as meaningful reform. Read our blog here: https://t.co/g5Ybafod3G pic.twitter.com/teAJ2P2LTJ — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) November 10, 2015

If the Times has got this right then the referendum is less than eight months away

If the Times has got this right then the referendum is less than eight months away

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Via @suttonnick Times reporting that the referendum could be next June – less than 8 months awaypic.twitter.com/cZa9AwlDP9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2015 Cameron to say that leaving EU would risk Britain’s national security The week looks set to be dominated by the EU referendum with a big speech by Cameron tomorrow and reports in the Times that David and George would like the vote to take place as soon as possible with June being seen as the earliest…

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The referendum: The last two months’ polls provide two very different pictures of what voters think

The referendum: The last two months’ polls provide two very different pictures of what voters think

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2 months of EU referendum polling. Notice how YouGov – subject of complaint from LEAVE, has had best OUT figures pic.twitter.com/DqQsWw5Csy — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 2, 2015 The phone surveys are best for IN online ones for OUT Trying to come to any conclusions from the referendum polling is difficult because there’s such a different pattern with the phone surveys painting a totally different picture of the race than the online ones. So in the past two weeks we’ve…

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