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Category: EU Referendum

Read all about it. The news sources that matter nowadays

Read all about it. The news sources that matter nowadays

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Alastair Meeks on the media influence on the EU referendum The EU referendum has turned into a battle between the Prime Minister and the right-leaning newspapers.  In 1992 the Sun hubristically claimed to have be the one wot won it.  Will it be the Mail wot wins the EU referendum for Leave in 2016? The world has changed in a generation.  In 1992, five daily newspapers sold more than a million copies and the top twelve biggest selling daily newspapers…

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With sentiment edging away from REMAIN it’s been the biggest betting day yet on the EURef

With sentiment edging away from REMAIN it’s been the biggest betting day yet on the EURef

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REMAIN drops 5 points on the biggest #EURef betting day yet.On Betfair alone £244,108 bets matched in 24 hours pic.twitter.com/vmCM7koRoW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2016 Whether this has been driven by Brussels or not is unclrear but there’s been a huge, in political betting terms, of betting on the EU Referendum. With nearly £0.25m of bets matched on Betfair alone in 24 hours the this has almost certainly been the biggest day yet for referendum gambling. It seems…

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This morning’s Brussels attacks are a terrible tragedy not something on which to make a political point

This morning’s Brussels attacks are a terrible tragedy not something on which to make a political point

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How a Telegraph columnist responded to the Brussels attacks. pic.twitter.com/akuhYcObTu — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2016 Clearly the news today has been totally dominated by the attacks in Brussels but, like many, I was somewhat aghast by the above Tweet by a Telegraph columnist. This happened only hours ago and we still don’t know how many died or were injured. To try to argue that this is for or against BREXIT is simply beside the point. How would we…

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Alastair Meeks: How the Eurosceptics are destroying the Conservative party

Alastair Meeks: How the Eurosceptics are destroying the Conservative party

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Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.  By that definition, the Eurosceptic right of the Conservative party is insane. It’s not as if we haven’t been here before.  In the mid-1990s, a cell of dissident Conservative MPs contrived to make government with a small majority a living hell for their nominal party superiors, challenging the government on a succession of grievances (real and imagined) relating to Britain’s membership of the EU.  By the…

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Referendum polling and betting update

Referendum polling and betting update

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Note that the table now includes polls where the actual 16 word ballot referendum question is not the one that is put. Ipsos-MORI has been using split samples to ask two questions each month. The first with its long-term question ad the second with the actual wording on the ballot. The latter produces better results to REMAIN. Also the new ORB phone poll for the Telegraph is not asking the standard question so, as can be seen, I am now…

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100 days to go till the referendum and the betting moves a bit closer

100 days to go till the referendum and the betting moves a bit closer

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A week ago LEAVE was a 29% chance on Betfair. Now a 33% one pic.twitter.com/QvRQ7s0aJy — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 15, 2016 https://twitter.com/StrongerIn/status/709666678620233728 "We Have 100 Days to Take Back Control of Our Country" – #GO's Co-Founder @VotePursglove https://t.co/O4aWW29FwU pic.twitter.com/RZlDqsJlpc — Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) March 15, 2016 Updated table of #EURef polls which use the wording on the ballot pic.twitter.com/GpgRCSRBUZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 15, 2016

Alastair Meeks says George Osborne’s star is dimming

Alastair Meeks says George Osborne’s star is dimming

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What the Chancellor should do if he wants the top job The last few months have not been good for George Osborne.  When he rose to give the last budget in July, he looked like a man ready to take over the top job.  Following the general election he had been appointed First Secretary of State, recognising his place as second among equals.  He had carved out a distinct policy agenda of his own within government on the northern powerhouse. …

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So far Cameron just has the edge on trust in the mighty battle between him and Boris

So far Cameron just has the edge on trust in the mighty battle between him and Boris

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The CON voter split will be crucial One of the best non-voting intention polling indicators to the referendum could well be the question above used by ComRes at the weekend in its IoS Sunday Mirror online poll. Inevitably the battle is being presented in the media as a mighty clash between the Prime Minister and the Mayor and the question of who is trusted most to act in the interests of Britain is central. Overall but only by a whisker…

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