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Category: EU Referendum

Opinum has EURef outcome for maximum chaos: England & Wales vote OUT but Scotland means it’s overall for IN

Opinum has EURef outcome for maximum chaos: England & Wales vote OUT but Scotland means it’s overall for IN

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Opinium #EURef poll national splits ENGLAND 41% to 43% to OUT WALES 35% to 42% to OUT SCOTLAND 51% to 34% IN OVERALL 42% to 41% to IN Tonight’s Opinium poll has a projected outcome which, if it happened, would create the most massive post-June 23rd eruptions – a narrow IN win but with England and Wales voting OUT. The national region splits are above. How wonderful for political anoraks to have such an outcome. We must remember Northern Ireland…

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Immigration looks set to be Leave’s last card

Immigration looks set to be Leave’s last card

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Alastair Meeks looks at the outers The Remain side has started the fight at a furious pace, leaving Leave gasping for air after two blows to its solar plexus.  First, it got hit by a Treasury report claiming that by 2030 each British household could be £4,300 worse off if it voted to leave the EU.  Then Barack Obama weighed in with his view that if Britain were to vote to leave the EU, it would join the back of…

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The IN lead drops by 4% in the first published poll since the Obama intervention

The IN lead drops by 4% in the first published poll since the Obama intervention

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How the @Telegraph is portraying both sides in the BRXIT battlehttps://t.co/XOqClIoPRH pic.twitter.com/MgwihNU4K8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 26, 2016 UPDATED referendum polling table showing new ORB survey with gap narrowing pic.twitter.com/3u9aBW7eXs — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 26, 2016 The OUT team will be absolutely delighted with today’s ORB phone poll in the Telegraph which sees last week’s 9% IN lead drop to just five. Whether this is the start of a trend or no we don’t know. In March ORB…

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The Mayor, the pro-IN Mayor’s Dad and the LAB approach to EURef

The Mayor, the pro-IN Mayor’s Dad and the LAB approach to EURef

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Donald Brind on how the campaign is unfolding   “It’s up to you in the Labour Party to save us.” I was too polite to reply: “From your son, you mean?”, for this was Stanley Johnson, the charming father of boorish Boris, the Brexiteer. Boris is the black sheep of the Johnson clan. As is well known, his decision to join the Leave camp put him in opposition not just to his father but also to his brother Jo, the…

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Cameron can do to the Eurosceptic right in the EURef what he did to Miliband’s LAB and Clegg’s Lib Dems

Cameron can do to the Eurosceptic right in the EURef what he did to Miliband’s LAB and Clegg’s Lib Dems

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This is about the total destruction of Dave’s opponents I was very struck last night by the Twreet from politics academic Professor Glen O’Hara on the first week of the referendum campaign. Cam + Osbo play high pressure game, high up the pitch. Put oppo under pressure, force them to make mistakes. That's what's happening now. — Glen O'Hara (@gsoh31) April 24, 2016 The reason OUT is so on the defensive at the moment is simply because of the force…

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Remain’s long term problems

Remain’s long term problems

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Imagine a UK EU In/Out Referendum with these two in The White House & Number 10 respectively. Pic by @GeneralBoles pic.twitter.com/MsAd7FZawl — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 24, 2016 Even if Remain wins in June, there may be future In/Out referendums and that should give Leave hope and worry Remain. One of the most interesting aspects of this referendum campaign is David Cameron ignoring Harold Wilson’s precedent of sitting out an In/Out EC/EU referendum. The reason for the breaking this precedent might…

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David Herdson say pursuing reform in the EU isn’t a pipe-dream

David Herdson say pursuing reform in the EU isn’t a pipe-dream

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The question is whether Brexit is needed to kick-start it Remember the government’s EU renegotiation? It was a big deal back in February when it was agreed after a marathon European Council summit and has been little heard of since. True, the five points do briefly appear in the government’s referendum leaflet but hardly any of the campaigning for or against membership has bothered to reference them. They are now essentially an irrelevance. To the extent that they are brought…

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