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Category: Ed Miliband

Does Dave have to offer a referendum before Ed does?

Does Dave have to offer a referendum before Ed does?

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The Sunday Times are reporting that Andrew Cooper, formerly of Populus and currently David Cameron’s pollster has warned the Tories they face embarrassment in the 2014 European Parliament elections, where they could be pushed into second place or worse by UKIP, unless they make a dramatic manifesto pledge to have an in/out referendum. A source said: “Cooper’s polling is clear. There’s a real public backlash against the EU and if we don’t do something, UKIP will get the benefit. There’s a…

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Ed retains his YouGov leadership lead for a third week.

Ed retains his YouGov leadership lead for a third week.

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The Leadership scores David Cameron is on minus 26 (minus 30 last week) Ed Miliband is on minus 23 (minus 27 last week) Nick Clegg is on minus 55 (minus 56 last week) Other yougov polling. The coverage of Cameron “chillaxing” doesn’t seem to have done any particular damage – only 33% say that he doesn’t work hard enough, compared to 39% who think he gets the balance right and 4% who think he works too hard. The YouGov VI…

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Cameron’s MORI ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s

Cameron’s MORI ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s

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Both the PM and Nick Clegg see 8 points drops Another poll, MORI, has EdM beating DC in leader ratings.Ed’s net rating is -16/Dave’s is -28/Clegg’s is -39 bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Clegg also sees a big drop in his MORI ratings down from -31 in April to -39 now.bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Cameron’s -28% MORI rating is worse than Gordon Brown’s was in any survey from the pollster in the 5…

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Miliband takes a 6pc net lead in YouGov’s leader ratings

Miliband takes a 6pc net lead in YouGov’s leader ratings

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Ed Miliband overtakes Cameron in YouGov’s leader ratings. He’s on 32% WELL/55% BADLY to Cameron’s 32%/61%. So Ed’s net is -23% to Dave’s -29 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 12, 2012 LATEST YouGov voting – 31/43/10 with UKIP on 8. Labour maintaining a solid double digit lead.. The LDs up from their low of 7% on Thu to 10 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 12, 2012 EdM’s net YouGov leader ratings lead of 6% over Dave his best ever position…

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Have the blues been pinning too much on geeky EdM?

Have the blues been pinning too much on geeky EdM?

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Is the Labour leader now looking like a winner? Earlier in the week the Speccie’s Fraser Nelson yesterday summed up neatly the Tory view of the next general election:- “Much of the Cameroon’s re-election hopes are pinned on the idea that their boss will trounce the geeky Ed Miliband. Nowadays, the argument goes, these ex-special advisers who have no charisma and alarming leftist policies just don’t win modern elections.” That view might have had some merit before George Osborne’s budget…

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Can Labour meet the 2012 Rallings local elections target?

Can Labour meet the 2012 Rallings local elections target?

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Will 600+ gains underpin EdM’s leadership? We are in that silly time that we see every April when the parties try to tell us how badly they are going to do in the May locals while the academic specialists who monitor this closely set out what they think we should expect. A central figure in this is Professor Colin Rallings (The R of the famous Rallings & Thrasher partnership who do thing like work out the “official general election notionals”…

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Could Dave’s women problem boost Yvette’s chances?

Could Dave’s women problem boost Yvette’s chances?

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Is now the moment for a female Labour leader? There are two big trends being featured in almost all of the polling: Firstly that Ed Miliband’s personal ratings remain dreadful and it’s hard to see how, given the importance of leaders in determining election outcomes, that his party could win with him at the helm. At the same time Cameron and the Tories continue to have problems appealing to women voters. In both the leader ratings and voter intention almost…

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