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Alastair Meeks on How Conservative Leavers could gift Labour the next election

Alastair Meeks on How Conservative Leavers could gift Labour the next election

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Asked Boris to explain fall in £ after leave poll lead. "The pound will go where it will in the short term". Concession of short term pain — Harry Cole (@MrHarryCole) June 6, 2016 The 2015 general election result was a surprise to almost everyone.  After the event, those who had not predicted the Conservative overall majority hastened to explain why it had happened.  One of the prime underlying causes alighted upon after the event was Labour’s catastrophic reputation on…

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The economics of discontent

The economics of discontent

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Does your income provide a comfortable lifestyle? Here’s what you said… pic.twitter.com/zz9AE41aKI — Moneywise (@Moneywiseonline) May 9, 2016 Alastair Meeks on why Leave is prospering Where did it all go right?  The bare statistics are breathtaking.  Even looking in percentage terms, employment rates are at all time highs, unemployment rates are at 10 year lows and the economic inactivity rate is also at a joint all time low (tying with 1990).  Job vacancies are hovering just below their all time…

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The next recession

The next recession

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Trying to predict the next recession has the danger making you sound like The Ancient Mariner but William Hill have a market up if the UK is going to have recession by the end of 2017 if you want to bet on the timing of it. I’m not an economist, so this piece should be viewed in that spirit. Most of the economic mood music seems to indicate backing a recession occurring before the end of 2017 might be the best…

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A post Brexit vote recession could cost the Tories the next election

A post Brexit vote recession could cost the Tories the next election

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Can you spot what subtle message David Cameron is trying to get across if the UK votes to leave the EU? pic.twitter.com/szzuh9VBT0 — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 14, 2016 Brexiteers are in danger of being blamed for the next recession even if it has nothing do with Brexit On one side we have, inter alia, the Prime Minister, the Chancellor, and the great and the good, from the IMF, the OECD, NIESR, The Bank of England, and their Governor, Mark Carney,…

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Sentence first, verdict later. Rushing to judgement over BHS

Sentence first, verdict later. Rushing to judgement over BHS

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Sir Philip Green potentially makes for a good pantomime villain.  He has never gone out of his way to charm the public and he has contacts in elite political circles.  His wealth is fabulous and flaunted.  His tax management strategies have blazed across the front pages of the newspapers.  And now his former flagship company BHS has gone bust, leaving a pension scheme that is half a billion pounds short, and he has taken large dividends from the company over…

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The referendum is currently much more about the economy than immigration

The referendum is currently much more about the economy than immigration

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If it stays that way it’s good for REMAIN Today’s been a huge one in the build up to June 23rd. The Treasury statement announced by Osborne this morning has met with a furious reaction from the LEAVE and looking at the above polling you can see why. Detail from the ComRes/Sun poll shows responses to the question about which issue will be most important to voters in making up their minds. REMAIN backers the economy is twice as important…

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Concern about the economy at highest level since 2013

Concern about the economy at highest level since 2013

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Economic optimism at lowest level since 2013 pic.twitter.com/sjhyhQ1YOc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2016 This could hinder the BREXIT campaign? The January Ipsos-MORI economic optimism index is out and shows the lowest figure since 2013. This has been a regular tracker from the firm for decades and is calculated by taking the percentage of those saying they are optimistic about the economy and deducting those who are negative. In the current context in the run up to the EU…

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ComRes: Osborne 6% behind Boris as “best PM” and just a third say that cutting tax credits is necessary

ComRes: Osborne 6% behind Boris as “best PM” and just a third say that cutting tax credits is necessary

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Conservatives have 13 point lead over Labour in new Sunday Mirror / Independent on Sunday Poll pic.twitter.com/zTgDXle97z — ComRes (@ComResPolls) October 17, 2015 39% say Boris would make a better PM than Osborne who is at 33%. But CON voters prefer Osborne to Boris by 48% to 34% CON lead now 13% in latest ComRes online poll for IoS/S Mirror CON 42% LAB 29-1 LD 7=    UKIP 13= No Corbyn bonus there ComRes Cameron & Osborne have and 19 point lead over…

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