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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

Hillary moves much closer to the nomination following Joe Biden’s announcement that he won’t be running

Hillary moves much closer to the nomination following Joe Biden’s announcement that he won’t be running

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Latest Betfair trade: Clinton 83.3% chance Next year’s White House race looks a lot clearer this evening following Joe Biden’s announcement within the past hour that he will not run for the Democratic nomination. There are other runners still in the race including the Vermont socialist Senator, Bernie Sanders but it’s hard to see how they can mount a challenge that puts Hillary at risk. Sanders who is in his mid 70s has been polling well, although Hillary is a…

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Five reasons why this CNN politics man has bet on Marco Rubio for the Republican nomination

Five reasons why this CNN politics man has bet on Marco Rubio for the Republican nomination

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In his own way there’s a touch of Obama about him I like the case has been made in this clip particularly the debate extract when Rubio is dealing with the language issue. The way he handled it is reminiscent of the conference speech Obama made in 2004 which brought him to prominence for the first time. The age factor is important given that all the potential Democratic party opponents are in their late 60s or 70s. With Rubio the…

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Rubio takes over the Republican nominee favourite slot on Betfair

Rubio takes over the Republican nominee favourite slot on Betfair

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Florida Senator Marco Rubio ousts ex-Florida governor, Jeb Bush, as GOP nominee Betfair betting favourite pic.twitter.com/TI0ObR5IG7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 17, 2015 How pathetic for @realdonaldtrump to criticize the president for 9/11. We were attacked & my brother kept us safe. — Jeb Bush (@JebBush) October 16, 2015 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

The US Presidential Election: David Herdson’s guide to analysis

The US Presidential Election: David Herdson’s guide to analysis

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Wikimedia Commons Ten tips for successful prediction The US presidential election is the biggest single political betting event, which is excellent news for serious analysts and players because it probably means that there’s a lot of amateur, uninformed money to be matched against. Not every election will produce a 50/1 winner but there’s nearly always value to be found for the astute. How? Here are some tips: 1. Follow US media: America is a different country Deceptively so. Some surface…

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YouGov Democrat debate polling finds Hillary getting big boost from this week’s event

YouGov Democrat debate polling finds Hillary getting big boost from this week’s event

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It’s becoming harder to see how she can be beaten for the nomination By far the biggest political betting story at the moment is the fight for the presidency of the United States. Although the election itself is 13 months away we are now going through the early stages of the party jostling as both Democrat and Republican hopefuls try to position themselves ahead of the primaries which start in February. This week saw the first TV debate for the…

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Hillary bounces back in the Democratic nomination betting after an assured performance in first debate

Hillary bounces back in the Democratic nomination betting after an assured performance in first debate

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How the US Politco site is reporting Hillary's performance in 1st debate http://t.co/9LXvKcsV8z pic.twitter.com/dnXLBQzdoa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2015 She’s now back as a 74% chance on Betfair Overnight in Las Vagas there’s been the first TV debate of the Democratic primary. This was all about Hillary and how well she’d perform after a period of declining poll ratings and the rise of Bernie Sanders now with substantial leads in New Hampshire. The big news is that she came…

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The 2016 White House race: The battles to secure the Republican and Democratic party nominations

The 2016 White House race: The battles to secure the Republican and Democratic party nominations

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Real Clear Politics Another Clinton vs Bush contest looks less certain The above polling from the respected Quinnipiac University is of matchups between Democratic and Republican Party contenders in two of the key swing States that will decide next year’s White House Race – Ohio and Florida. It comes at a critical time as the party establishments, donors and others who can influence the race get closer to deciding which of the contenders will get their support. Even though the…

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Marco Rubio is getting very close to Jeb Bush in the Republican nominee betting

Marco Rubio is getting very close to Jeb Bush in the Republican nominee betting

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Marco Rubio – now a 27% chance on Betfair to win Republican nomination pic.twitter.com/kmGf9YSgxm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2015 While all the focus in the fight for the Republican nomination has been on the three non politician contenders – Trump, Fiorina and Carson – the big recent betting moves have been at the top of the card The former Governor of Florida Jeb Bush has yet to sparkle in the campaign and had seen his betting price gradually…

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