Keiran Pedley asks if a Rubio / Christie ticket (with either at the top) might be the Republican’s best bet to defeat Hillary Clinton in 2016 It is fair to say that the race for the Republican 2016 nomination is an odd one. This really should be an election that the GOP can win and yet with the national polls showing Trump and Carson leading the GOP race most observers are pretty sceptical that either will last. Neither has held…
Carson now ahead of Trump in the RCP GOP nominee polling averagehttps://t.co/x61cQvnKNs pic.twitter.com/PNTWpwRkg9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 4, 2015 In the betting Rubio reigns supreme
Because there is a general clampdown down in the US on online betting many US observers are having to look at what is happening on the UK markets in order to get a sense of the betting sentiment on the White House Race. A new American site has just been established, which is monitoring this daily and producing regular reports on how things are being seen. It is covering three elements, the Democratic nomination, the Republican nomination and of course…
Rubio heading to 40% in the nominee betting The clip above gives a taste of the overnight third Republican debate. Bush, who not too long ago had been touching evens in the nomination betting, was under huge pressure to assert himself and take on the young Senator from Florida his own state, Marco Rubio. He did it in such a cack handed manner and unfortunately for him Rubio was waiting with a solid response. Bush bombed. The other big losers…
Trump edged out for the first time in three months Tomorrow’s a big night in the fight for the GOP nomination – the third big TV debate. With established politicians all making heavy weather in the polls the former neuro-surgeon, Ben Carson and Donald Trump have been leading with, until today, the latter having the edge. But now we have this one from CBS/NYT. New CBS Republican national nominee poll has Trump in 2nd place26% – Carson22% – Trump8% –…
How US Republican voters who didn't go to college are driving the Trump surge. Table via @montie pic.twitter.com/E3gxnYaP4a — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2015 The above table highlights a big trend in the Republican primaries which has strong echoes in the UK. The quite different voting patterns of those who went to university and those who didn’t. In the US at the moment this is highlighted by the make up of those supporting Donald Trump for the GOP nomination….
The decline & decline of Jeb Bush in the Republican nomination betting. Was hot favourite – now a 16% chance pic.twitter.com/ZEuOVfyfjG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 24, 2015 But only if they can choose the right candidate Hillary Clinton will be the Democrats’ candidate for the presidency next year, short of falling under a bus. Sanders is far too left-wing to be electable and offers nothing beyond his base, Biden has announced he won’t run, and no-one else is on…
Hillary set to become even stronger favourite for nomination after Senate Benghazi hearing https://t.co/5tfB0dg18p pic.twitter.com/iZPk8Ju4HF — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2015 It has been an amazing 7 days for the Hillary Clinton campaign to be the next President of the United States. Firstly there was the reaction to the initial Democratic candidates live TV debate. The general view was that she had been the winner and this had been backed up by the polling. This had an immediate impact…