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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

Trump moves to new high in first poll carried out entirely AFTER his controversial Muslim immigration statement

Trump moves to new high in first poll carried out entirely AFTER his controversial Muslim immigration statement

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Trump reaches new high in Zogby poll conducted AFTER Muslim statement Trump: 38%Carson: 13%Rubio: 12%Cruz: 8%Bush: 7%Christie: 4% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 10, 2015 He’s now 25% ahead in race for GOP nomination Those who were predicting, including punters on Betfair, that Donald Trump’s controversial Muslim immigration statement would be a negative might have read it wrongly. The very first published GOP nomination poll, from Zogby, carried out entirely afterwards has the property billionaire with a huge lead over…

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Trump’s widely condemned comment about banning Muslims from entering the US might be smart politics

Trump’s widely condemned comment about banning Muslims from entering the US might be smart politics

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This is about winning the nomination Donald Trump’s statement about stopping Muslims from entering the US has been widely condemned both in America and round the world. In the UK David Cameron has joined those attacking the current GOP front runner and possibly the next President. But amidst all the noise some US pundits are saying that this might help the property billionaire just as there were polling indications that his position in Iowa, the first state to decide. was…

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast: The 2016 White House race with Stan Greenberg

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast: The 2016 White House race with Stan Greenberg

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On this week’s episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran discusses the 2016 US Presidential race with Democratic pollster and strategist Stan Greenberg. Stan talks about his new book ‘America Ascendant’ where he outlines the profound demographic and cultural changes that have taken place in the U.S. and why they make the Democrats most likely to triumph in 2016 (and beyond). Stan also picks his three GOP candidates to watch and predicts an unlikely eventual nominee. Finally, the…

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Time to back Biden (if you can)

Time to back Biden (if you can)

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  It may be worth having a cover against Hillary US presidential elections are brilliant. The fractal-like complexity of the process by which someone ends up in the White House provides endless scope for novelists, script-writers and conspiracy theorists to come up with weird and wonderful ways for the most implausible individuals to follow in the footsteps of Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelts and Obama. And in theory, they could. The reality, of course, is that the nominations are usually all but…

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The GOP nomination race: Unless the mainstream politicians make inroads soon Trump could become unassailable

The GOP nomination race: Unless the mainstream politicians make inroads soon Trump could become unassailable

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Carson’s slipping in state polls Above is the latest Real Clear Politics Polling Average and the big story remains. None of the mainstream politicians have managed to gain real traction while Trump remains very strong. The latest average probably overstates Carson who had a troubled start to November which is starting to be picked up in the state polls. A new survey for the first full primary state, New Hampshire, has Carson in sharp reverse with Trump 22% ahead of the…

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After the second Democratic Party debate Clinton remains the overwhelming favourite to get the nomination

After the second Democratic Party debate Clinton remains the overwhelming favourite to get the nomination

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Last night we had the second Democratic Party Presidential debate and the tragic events of Paris were discussed. Clinton’s past record came under scrutiny, first her support for the 2003 Iraq War (which Sanders said helped the rise of ISIS) and her tenure as Secretary of State. She came through all of this largely unscathed. Where she made a mistake was when the issue of the large donations she’s received from Wall Street, she said it was down to the…

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The latest Republican TV debate was the best so far but won’t change anything

The latest Republican TV debate was the best so far but won’t change anything

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Rubio once again the most accomplished & good for Trump Overnight we have had the latest TV debate in the search to find the Republican nominee for next year’s White House Race. Compares with the last such event a couple of weeks ago which was poorly moderated this was a far better organised and much more inormative It was organised by Fox Business and the Wall Street Journal and there were no real losers or runaway winners. It was the…

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The GOP nomination race: Pollsters now asking, with a serious reason, what was purpose of the the ancient pyramids

The GOP nomination race: Pollsters now asking, with a serious reason, what was purpose of the the ancient pyramids

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FWIW, the new @ppppolls shows @RealBenCarson supporters in SC disagree w/ him on the pyramids by a 69-9-1 margin pic.twitter.com/1DUVYo2e1J — Aaron Booth (@ActorAaronBooth) November 10, 2015 Trump says his opponent has a psychological disease The reason, of course, for this polling question is that current front-runner for the Republican nomination, the former neuro surgeon Ben Carson, has put forward an astonishing theory about their origin. This from Buzzfeed. ..He rejected the widely held belief among archaeologists that most of…

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