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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

PB Video Analysis: Will Donald Trump be Re-Elected in 2020?

PB Video Analysis: Will Donald Trump be Re-Elected in 2020?

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KdakzE5R9n8 So, after many economics and finance related posts, I thought why not do a politics one? It’s a simple question: will President Trump be re-elected in 2020? But while the answer will – Schrodinger’s cat-like – resolve itself when the box is opened in two years time, for now the answer is unknowable. Which is the stronger force: an improving economy or the drip, drip of scandals? What matters more: who the Democrats choose or whether inflation returns? And…

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My 270/1 shot for the White House indicates that he might run

My 270/1 shot for the White House indicates that he might run

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Watch out for John Hickenlooper – Governor of Colorado Back in early April I reported that I’d backed Governor John Hickenlooper for the presidency at odds of 270/1 on Betfair. One of the things about super long-shots is that you generally don’t know when you place your bet whether your man/woman will actually make a bid. So today’s strong indication that he is considering putting his hat into the ring is a big step forward. I’d first noticed Hickenlooper a…

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The polling that should give great succour to Trump

The polling that should give great succour to Trump

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Ahead of the G7 summit it is worth noting Donald Trump has the second highest 'own party' approval rating after 500 days of any US president in Gallup's archive. Only post 9/11 George W Bush is higher. pic.twitter.com/nZL9nBuUUT — Joe Twyman (@JoeTwyman) June 8, 2018 The above chart I found really interesting. Trump is retaining his support that is unmatched bar by George W Bush, by the hopefully unique set of circumstances that was 9/11. Despite the general hostility directed…

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Introducing my 270/1 shot to win WH2020 – Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper

Introducing my 270/1 shot to win WH2020 – Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper

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Ladbrokes have him at 16/1 for the Democratic nomination It’s just over a year’s time we should be seeing the formal declarations of those entering the run for president in the 2020 White House race and over the ensuing 12 months we are going to hear a lot of speculation about who might put their hats into the ring. The assumption is that Donald Trump will seek a second term and all the focus is on who will be his…

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Would Joe Biden beat Donald Trump? See this interesting analysis

Would Joe Biden beat Donald Trump? See this interesting analysis

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I rather like this approach to looking at the White House race because this is a state battle as we saw in 2016 when Hillary Clinton won the popular vote but Trump made it because he picked up several key states by very small margins. Currently you can get Biden at 20/1 for the Presidency and Sanders at 12/1. I’m not tempted at these odds given how long you would have to wait and so much could happen in the…

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Warren makes first move for a possible 2020 White House bid

Warren makes first move for a possible 2020 White House bid

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At a dinner in Washington on Wednesday high profile Massachusetts Senator, Elizabeth Warren, made what is being seen as the start of her bid to win the 2020 White House race. She announced that she is donating $5,000 to all 50 state Democratic parties in the US. She is also giving $15,000 to the national party. According to Politico:- “Warren also began laying out a national political argument, calling for the party to pick fights on consumer rights, guns, immigration…

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Trump critic Mitt Romney could prove problematical for Trump if, as likely, he’s elected senator

Trump critic Mitt Romney could prove problematical for Trump if, as likely, he’s elected senator

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I am running for United States Senate to serve the people of Utah and bring Utah's values to Washington. pic.twitter.com/TDkas6gD2p — Mitt Romney (@MittRomney) February 16, 2018 The Republican White House nominee in 2012 and Trump critic, Mitt Romney is running to become the next Senator for Utah – a GOP stronghold. Given the tightness of the current split in the Senate, 51 Republican to 49 Democratic, the former nominee has the potential to cause problems for the White House….

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First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

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Boondocks And she’s a favourability rating of 55% New polling just out this afternoon from the right-leaning pollster Rasmussen has a big boost for TV personality, Oprah Winfrey who has now entered, though not the race, the frame for WH20020. This is from the pollster: “TV personality Oprah Winfrey is the likely winner over President Trump if the 2020 election were held today, but there are a lot of undecideds. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds…

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