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Category: CON Leadership

There’s no automaticity that the next Tory leader becomes Prime Minister

There’s no automaticity that the next Tory leader becomes Prime Minister

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Why Mrs May could end up remaining Prime Minister a lot longer than we think The Guardian reports Boris Johnson could avoid facing an immediate confidence vote in his premiership if he becomes Conservative leader, as ministers are considering whether to send MPs home early for their summer break before the new prime minister is announced. Mel Stride, the new leader of the House of Commons, aroused suspicions that the Conservatives are plotting to put off a confidence vote for their…

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In around seven weeks time we shall have a new Tory leader (and probably PM)

In around seven weeks time we shall have a new Tory leader (and probably PM)

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Conservatives announce first round ballot for the leadership race next Thursday, then all wrapped up the following week to decide final two. New PM week beginning July 22 pic.twitter.com/k9nWG5blat — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) June 4, 2019 The first round of voting begins a week on Thursday. Today the Conservative party announced the schedule and rules in the contest to succeed Mrs May. The biggest changes are the nomination threshold which seems to rule out five candidates based on the…

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This seems like a good way to get a 20% return in around a month or so

This seems like a good way to get a 20% return in around a month or so

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Given what is stake and the egos involved I cannot see the candidates not taking this contest to the members so that’s why I’m backing the 1/5 Paddy Power are offering. After Leavers conspired to hand the crown to Mrs May in 2016 and bypassing the members there’ll be a desire for the members to take part, as a Tory member there’s a real desire amongst my fellow members to have the final say, something that I’d expect to be…

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Michael Gove – the case against

Michael Gove – the case against

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From a PBer teacher who remembers when Gove was EdSec Michael Gove has many admirers – most notably, several on this forum, including a former Labour MP and a number of Conservative and UKIP voters. He is an experienced minister, having held office for nine years (one of them outside the cabinet). He is able, articulate, polite, and from a very modest background. He is well connected in the media, has a remarkable imagination and drive, and stands out, frankly,…

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Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be Tory leader

Andy Warhol was wrong, in the future everyone will stand to be Tory leader

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I am running to be Conservative Party leader and Prime Minister – go to https://t.co/MShWaI9qmR to join the journey of national renewal. #BackSamsPlan pic.twitter.com/7mVkytZAm6 — Sam Gyimah (@SamGyimah) June 2, 2019 Sam Gyimah might end up feeling like a bacon eater in a vegan restaurant if he thinks backing a people’s vote will help him in the Tory leadership contest. https://t.co/PqYLtPRdDV — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 2, 2019 But like Rory Stewart I think Sam Gyimah might be focussing on winning…

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The Tory race is crowded but there is value there

The Tory race is crowded but there is value there

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Even after the recent lengthening of his odds, Boris is still over-fancied When a dozen candidates declare their candidacy for a party leadership, it’s not a sign of strength. Certainly, it’s entirely possible to go too far the other way and allow a flawed but dominant candidate in by default, but an excess of candidates points to a lack of confidence in the leading runners among the second string. There are, of course, other reasons why also-rans might give the…

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Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

Paging all Brexiteers who hate American Presidents interfering in UK politics

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World exclusive: Trump backs Boris to be Britain’s next PM with highly controversial intervention into Tory contest. "I know the different players. But I think Boris would do a very good job. He would be excellent”.https://t.co/Qt0zjwwePJ — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) May 31, 2019 I’m not sure being Donald Trump’s preferred choice as Prime Minister will ultimately help Boris Johnson. TSE

Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

Boris Johnson – The False Favourite for the Tory leadership

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Right now British politics and British political betting is consumed by the race for next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister. Conventional wisdom on both is that Boris Johnson is the man to beat. He has traded below evens on Betfair for the roles and after an initial rush of excitement, he has settled down in both next Conservative leader and next Prime Minister markets at about 5/2 at the time of writing. Certainly there is evidence to back up…

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