On the eve of the first ballot some of this morning’s front pages
Will the rain dampen Boris’s chances? Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
On Betfair alone £3.5m has already been wagered on the CON leadership fight
And a further £1.3m has been gambled on the next PM market Here is tonight’s chart showing the movement on the Betfair exchange next CON leader market where the total gambled has now topped £3.5m. There’s been very little significant movement and I don’t expect to see much change until Thursday evening when the result of the first CON MP ballot is announced. Johnson is still odds-on favourite and it will be interesting to see whether or not he has…
Gove’s cocaine admission dominates just four of the front pages this morning
Could it be all history when CON MPs vote on Thursday? As an ex-newspaperman Michael Gove must know how the media’s attention can easily forget a story and even though it is just 2 days before the MP vote only four national papers are making his admission of taking cocaine their big story. My guess is that this will be the end of the coverage and his hope that he might be able to stay in the race could just…
The CON leadership race is now down to ten with the first MP vote on Thursday
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange Does BoJo’s Trappist strategy speak volumes about his fitness? So we now know the names of the CON MPs who will be on the first ballot. These are: Michael Gove Matt Hancock Mark Harper Jeremy Hunt Sajid Javid Boris Johnson Andrea Leadsom Esther McVey Dominic Raab Rory Stewart All of them bar one have been out today talking incessantly about their hopes and plans whilst at the same time finding a chance…
The extraordinary betting collapse of Michael Gove
Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange From 2nd favourite to a longshot in just a couple of days The big political news over the weekend has been the the reaction to Michael Gove’s statement that he had in the past taken cocaine. Although other runners for TMay’s job have made similar admissions about their drug-taking pasts the Gove one has had the biggest impact. Maybe this is because it was about cocaine. I wonder whether this will all…
Addicted to Gove. The Bizarre Gove Triangle involving, Gove, cocaine, and the Tory leadership
The problem for Gove isn't that that this a law an order issue. It's a class issue. "One rule for them, one rule for you and me". And at the moment, I don't see how he neutralises it. — (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 9, 2019 This is what I was talking about. And if it turns out to be true, I don't actually see how Gove stays in the race. https://t.co/ZxhaYbHnB3 — (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 9, 2019 Sajid Javid…
Gove’s white lines are a red line for a majority of the electorate
And now with Michael Gove admitting to cocaine use when he was younger, we found that 56% of Brits think this should disqualify someone from top office https://t.co/997tPlJLel — YouGov (@YouGov) June 7, 2019 Has Gove blown his chance of becoming Prime Minister? I’m still reeling from the news that broke late on Friday night that Michael Gove admitted doing cocaine in his previous career as a journalist. Team Gove would also be reeling when reading that polling from YouGov…
Some analysis of the Tory leadership race and why the hardline No Deal Brexiteers might end up struggling in the MP stage of voting
Friday leadership race update (using @GuidoFawkes totals): Johnson 45Gove 30Hunt 27Raab 22 Javid 16Hancock 12Harper 6McVey 5Stewart 5Leadsom 3Gyimah 3 — Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) June 7, 2019 Here's how the support for the different candidates stacks up according to voting record on the deal. As a whole, rebels breaking heavily for Johnson and Raab – but Johnson is also doing well with pro-deal MPs, especially junior ministers: pic.twitter.com/ltbAZS4gbI — Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) June 7, 2019 174 MPs have declared; 139…