As CON MPs vote in 1st round the latest live Betfair betting odds and Ken Clarke gives his views
Next CON leader
The chronology suggests that the momentum is with Leadsom
Could there be an effort to see that she doesn’t make the final 2? One aspect of the two member surveys that we had overnight is that all the ConHome one was carried out yesterday while the YouGov poll fieldwork started on Friday and went through till yesterday. Given we know that most responses tend to come in during the first period of fieldwork then YouGov was probably more influenced by Friday and Saturday respondents than Sunday and Monday. The…
May beats Leadsom by 32 points in latest YouGov poll
What a contrast to the Conhome poll – The Leadsomites will be devastated by this poll Exc: Times/YouGov Tory members poll In final round, May beats Leadsom by 32 points. May 63%Leadsom 31% pic.twitter.com/txR2opHGPR — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) July 4, 2016 YouGov / Times poll of Tory members. May wins in EVERY category sometimes by 50+ points pic.twitter.com/FbvH8nMwJn — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) July 4, 2016 And it looks like Michael Gove trashed his reputation for nothing YouGov Tory…
The CON leadership line-up is worryingly thin
This is for PM & more than a party matter Don’t you like farce? The Conservative party leadership election is dishing up plenty of it, and all of the blackest variety. Like horror movies, there are rules for Conservative party leadership elections: you may not survive if you have sex; you may not survive if you drink or do drugs; and, as Boris Johnson found out, you may not survive if you say “I’ll be right back”, “Hello?” or “Who’s…
A big 36 hours ahead in the race to Number 10
CON leader betting Betfair exchange 0540BST pic.twitter.com/VARc6pOfNq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 4, 2016 Theresa May strong odds on favourite the day before the first vote Tomorrow MPs will vote by secret ballot in the first round of the 2016 Conservative Leadership Race. The choice will be more than just the party leadership because the winner becomes the next PM. Five names are on the tomorrow’s ballot and MPs have to choose just one. The contender who receives the fewest…
The gloves come off in the Tory race
The @Telegraph puts the boot into Gove. https://t.co/szMhu8HXbD pic.twitter.com/g3WrnNrhSr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 3, 2016 This is by a fellow CON MP The article is by Ben Wallace, MP for Wyre and Preston North. He writes:- “..From the minute Michael Gove came on board with Boris’s leadership campaign, things started to go wrong. There was a leak a day in the press, starting with the camera crews at Boris’s house in Oxfordshire on the first day and ending with…
Next Chancellor of the Exchequer betting
Picture: Note there are other candidates available in this market, this is merely a screen grab of the leading candidates. Backing Chris Grayling as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer at 12/1 looks like a good bet. Ladbrokes have put back up their market on the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, given recent events whomever becomes Prime Minister will likely be appointing a new Chancellor, although there are stories that were Michael Gove to become Prime Minister, he’d retain George…
It would be a mistake for May to become leader & PM without a membership election
Remember Brown who was spared that inconvenience? There’s said to be talks taking place amongst “senior Tories” that if May wins convincingly in the first MP ballot on Tuesday then the other contenders should be asked to step aside so that the Home Secretary could start her job immediately. It sounds seductive but it would be a serious mistake. The most recent precedent was Gordon Brown’s elevation to the party leadership and Number 10 in 2007. In order to prevent…