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Category: CON Leadership

TMontgomerie says BoJo would be a massive roll of the dice but better than slow death under TMay

TMontgomerie says BoJo would be a massive roll of the dice but better than slow death under TMay

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To switch or not to switch In the end BJohnson’s much anticipated conference speech was totally on message and it was hard to find even the most minuscule of difference with the PM. For just about the first time the conference hall was packed and the delegates seemed to be enjoying themselves. But it wasn’t one of the ex-Mayor’s greatest speeches. He had some good jokes and his close was rather subdued and almost took the audience by surprise. Maybe…

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The TMay successor betting moves to BJohnson after suggestions that DDavis no longer interested

The TMay successor betting moves to BJohnson after suggestions that DDavis no longer interested

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And ARudd “hires Crosby” to help her defend Hastings Boris Johnson, who just over a month ago had been down at 6% in the next CON leader betting has now moved back sharply and is 17% clear favourite following reports that David Davis will no longer want it. Second in line is Jacob Rees-Mogg who’s fringe meeting in Manchester yesterday attracted huge amount of publicity particularly the way that he handled a heckler. He is at 12%. Perhaps the most…

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Labour joy and Tory gloom

Labour joy and Tory gloom

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Don Brind reflects on the conference season A few weeks ago I was helping a front bencher prepare for a TV appearance and we guessed that one of the questions might be “Do you agree with Laura Pidcock?” She is the newbie MP who declared she wouldn’t hang out with Tory women because she regards them as “enemy”. The more emollient reply we came up with was: “There are some Tories I like. I just don’t want them running the…

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Every day Mrs May remains PM she’s buying the Tories at least one week in opposition.

Every day Mrs May remains PM she’s buying the Tories at least one week in opposition.

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Westminster voting intention: LAB: 44% (+2)CON: 40% (-1)LDEM: 9% (-)UKIP: 2% (-1)GRN: 1% (-1) via @IpsosMORI, 15 – 18 SepChgs. w July — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 21, 2017 % of public who find [X] to be a capable leader: T. May: 45% (-23)J. Corbyn: 38% (+14) via @IpsosMORI, 15 – 18 SepChgs. w/ Sep 2016 — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 21, 2017 % of public who find [X] to be of sound judgement: T. May: 36% (-20)J. Corbyn: 40%…

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The Strange Rise of Jacob Rees-Mogg

The Strange Rise of Jacob Rees-Mogg

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David Herdson on the man who opposes abortion & gay marriage Of all the odd stories to have infected the Silly Season, none has been odder than the promotion of Jacob Rees-Mogg to be the next Leader of the Conservatives and, quite possibly along with it, Prime Minister. The oddness is not so much the story itself but the crossover into the betting markets. He is widely quoted at about 8/1 for the premiership, with only Paddy Power out on…

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ConHome members’ survey finds just 36% wanting TMay to lead party at next election

ConHome members’ survey finds just 36% wanting TMay to lead party at next election

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Our survey. Over half of Party member respondents think May should quit as leader before 2022. https://t.co/jVsJ3RQYVy — Paul Goodman (@PaulGoodmanCH) September 4, 2017 The build up to the Tory conference In the six days since TMay’s “not a quitter” assertion there have been several different surveys of different groups as to how they view the woman who lost the party its majority carrying on in the job right up to the next general election. The latest from CONHome of…

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May’s comments on retirement are more about 2019 than 2022

May’s comments on retirement are more about 2019 than 2022

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Her party will give her Brexit but not another election Theresa May might be on the other side of the world but she can no doubt still hear the cacophony of silence from her cabinet colleagues in support of her comment stating her desire to lead the Conservatives into the next election. As so often, what is not said is more revealing than what is. To be fair, the question of whether a leader intends to stand down within a…

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