SNP councillors give their response to the Smith report by burning it
Smart move or just a bit silly?
If the LDs hold on to as many seats as the latest polling suggests then Clegg should thank NO2AV
Remember when FPTP was seen as way of preventing coalitions? Just looking through the latest constituency polling from Lord Ashcroft and one thing is apparent – the LDs look set to hang on to so many of their CON facing marginals because the AV referendum in 2011 produced a NO victory. In almost all of the seats the yellows look set to retain their vote share will be in the thirties. They’ve lost a lot of votes since the heady…
The ComRes marginals’ poll would be a lot more valuable if there had been a 2 stage voting question
From last night the latest ComRes/ITV news poll of 40 CON-LAB marginals Con  31% (+1)   Lab 39% (-2) LD 7% (+1) UKIP 18% (+1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2014 It’s important to tease out incumbency & tactical elements I was tied up last night when the ComRes/ITV online marginals poll was published as well as the latest YouGov which has the Tories back with a 1% lead. The ComRes poll with a sample of a thousand questioned online is in 40 seats where at…
Ed Miliband could be in trouble in Doncaster
Released tomorrow polling in Doncaster North showing UKIP 2nd so if Tories tactically vote for UKIP Miliband loses #votetorygetlabour! — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) November 26, 2014
The NT should repeat “This House” – a taste of what happens when you have a minority government
This should be screened again before May 7th Suddenly people are talking about a possible minority government after the general election because of the way the maths appear at the moment. With the polls looking so tight with UKIP and the SNP expected to have much bigger contingents at Westminster it’s quite likely that neither LAB or CON will secure a majority and a future coalition very difficult to achieve. Last year I wrote enthusiastically about James Graham’s “This House”…
Marf on a great PB gathering at Dirty Dicks and the Saturday night rolling polling blog
Thanks Marf for capturing the spirit of last night’s PB gathering at Dirty Dicks in the City of London. This was the best attended PB event that we’ve ever had and it was great to compare notes and betting strategies with fellow PBers. The pub was absolutely packed with Friday night drinkers that our little corner felt very over-crowded at first but it worked well and I, for one, had a great time. We had people with five different party…
Terrible expectations management but you can’t accuse Farage of lacking ambition
pic.twitter.com/ceFo41xHrM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2014
It’s looking like a UKIP victory but by a tighter margin than any of the polls
Ukip leader Nigel Farage confident after polls close in Rochester and Strood by-election http://t.co/xcFUuP1xrG pic.twitter.com/tt7wnpqOrW — ITV News (@itvnews) November 20, 2014 Ukip on around 43%, Tories 35%, Labour 17% at #rochesterbyelection, it's said – http://t.co/kXX2nAdFQn — AndrewSparrow (@AndrewSparrow) November 21, 2014 The 4 Rochester & Strood polls. pic.twitter.com/NeCDkQrtY1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2014