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Chart of latest TNS Scotland poll pic.twitter.com/MWOfWJoQbW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 10, 2015 Scottish general election polling – all the surveys this year. pic.twitter.com/mt4dtO7nN6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 10, 2015 Even though they are behind this poll will come as a relief to LAB Just out from TNS is the latest Scotland poll. The main GE voting figures are in the chart above and as can be seen the red team trail the nats by 10%. But that…

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@LordAshcroft 's statement on the corrections he's had to make to his Dec polling of Hallam, Doncaster N, & Thanet S pic.twitter.com/YVsDDCk1TP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 7, 2015 So good news for Miliband & Farage – bad news for Clegg @LordAshcroft says that the Thanet S, Doncaster N & Hallam polling carried out by "well-known but relatively new polling firm" not named. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 7, 2015 Revised @LordAshcroft outcome for December Hallam poll LAB 30 LD 27 CON…

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Birmington on Derbyshire (Lab Defence) Tricia Gilby (Labour) 1,293 votes (62% -7%) Paul Stone (United Kingdom Independence Party) 380 votes (18%, no candidate in 2013) Mick Bagshaw (Independent) 157 votes (8%) John Ahern (Liberal Democrat) 135 votes (6% -3%) Lewis Preston (Conservative) 120 votes (6% -5%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 913 votes (44%) on a swing of 12% from Labour to UKIP

UNITE poll carried out by Survation has LAB with 12% lead over Nick Clegg in Sheffield Hallam. LAB 33, LD 23, CON 22, UKIP 9 GRN 12 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 So after a dreadful day of polling for LAB the UNITE/Survation Hallam poll will come as some relief for EdM's team — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 4, 2015 The previous poll of Hallam, by Lord Ashcroft in December, had Clegg 3% ahead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB)…

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@LordAshcroft weekly national phone finds more people wanting change than staying with starus quo. Good for LAB? pic.twitter.com/qEjTrAsUUv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2015 ENGLAND ONLY shares in today's @LordAshcroft phone poll CON 34 LAB 30 LD 8 UKIP 17 GRN 10 In 2010 CON 11.4% ahead in England — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2015 A CON lead of just 4% in England could mean 45+ seat losses on a uniform swing. Tories need to be much closer to the 11.4% lead of 2010…

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Latest from Electoral Calculus http://t.co/yOyYu1w1VO which includes SNP on 47 seats has LAB 29 short of majority pic.twitter.com/EPnC1vZ4hJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2015 LAB drops 24 on the month The monthly prediction from the grand-daddy of general election prediction sites, Electoral Calculus, came out overnight and saw a sharp reduction in LAB seats reflecting the latest polling. Martin Baxter, the Cambridge and later City mathematician, has been running this for nearly 20 years and was one of the…

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@LordAshcroft teasing us ahead of his Scottish polling. pic.twitter.com/jHvjVMVJSM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2015 Ever since the first post-IndyRef Scottish polls came out showing a huge move to the SNP the standard assumptions that were being made about the GE15 outome were put on one side. For although in GB terms the the loss in the LAB vote and increase in the SNP one amounted to less than one percent overall the number of seats involved was enormous….

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