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As Cameron struggles to make progress with the EU talks two new referendum polls have LEAVE moving up

As Cameron struggles to make progress with the EU talks two new referendum polls have LEAVE moving up

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Based on this it is too close to call Above is my latest table of EURef polls showing the two that were published overnight from Survation and ICM. Both show LEAVE making progress. What we really need are some more phone polls which have suggested a very different outcome from the online surveys which predominate. There are three December phone polls to come and I’m hoping that ComRes, ICM for the Guardian and Ipsos-MORI will have included referendum voting intentions…

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Corbyn has the best satisfaction ratings of any leader in today’s Ipsos poll

Corbyn has the best satisfaction ratings of any leader in today’s Ipsos poll

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Farron ahead of Cameron November Ipsos pollIn net terms Corbyn has the best figures of any of the party leaders pic.twitter.com/UUHZhnHWH4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2015 UKIP drops to just 7% At last. Full details of today's Ipsos poll. Good for CON. UKIP drop to 7% – same as LDs pic.twitter.com/UhwyY553qq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2015

The tax credits defeat happened because the Tories are still paying a price for not winning a majority in 2010

The tax credits defeat happened because the Tories are still paying a price for not winning a majority in 2010

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The UK politics version “A peerage is for life not just for a parliament” Whenever I see animal welfare posters like the one above I think of the Coalition agreement of May 11 2010 – the day that David Cameron became PM after reaching an agreement with Nick Clegg and his team. For in recent days there’s been some comment that the Liberal Democrats are in a very strong position with 100+ peers in the House of Lords – a…

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Hillary moves much closer to the nomination following Joe Biden’s announcement that he won’t be running

Hillary moves much closer to the nomination following Joe Biden’s announcement that he won’t be running

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Latest Betfair trade: Clinton 83.3% chance Next year’s White House race looks a lot clearer this evening following Joe Biden’s announcement within the past hour that he will not run for the Democratic nomination. There are other runners still in the race including the Vermont socialist Senator, Bernie Sanders but it’s hard to see how they can mount a challenge that puts Hillary at risk. Sanders who is in his mid 70s has been polling well, although Hillary is a…

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Local By-Election Preview : October 15th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : October 15th 2015

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Chatteris on Cambridgeshire (UKIP defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): United Kingdom Independence Party 584 (35%), Conservative 579 (34%), Liberal Democrat 358 (21%), Labour 159 (9%) Candidates duly nominated: John Freeman (Lib Dem), Richard Mandley (United Kingdom Independence Party), Alan Melton (Con) So far since the general election there have…

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Ipsos-MORI boost for Boris in the Cameron successor stakes

Ipsos-MORI boost for Boris in the Cameron successor stakes

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Boris Johnson top choice of GB voters for next CON leader – Ipsos-MORI pic.twitter.com/09GLsHMJmN — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 1, 2015 But George doing better with CON voters We’re going to have to get used to a lot of this – polling on the next Tory leader who could be the next Prime Minister. What’s striking is the huge difference between the all polled split and the numbers restricted to just Tory voters. George is in third place on 15%…

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Concern about immigration moves to highest level ever recorded by Ipsos MORI

Concern about immigration moves to highest level ever recorded by Ipsos MORI

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Concern about immigration rises sharply in the Sept Ipsos-MORI issues index pic.twitter.com/j3pfvAyDaU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2015 The Sept 2015 Ipsos-MORI Issues IndexTrend chart showing concern about immigration moving to record high pic.twitter.com/jChStO5vqt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2015 The Sept 2015 Ipsos-MORI Issues IndexConcern about immigration by different segments pic.twitter.com/zlgo0C6QDr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2015 Meanwhile the economy moves to lowest since the 2008 banking crisis The Sept 2015 Ipsos-MORI Issues Index: Concern about…

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