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Category: Coalition

The Queen’s Speech timing: the product of what Lynton would call the “coalition of chaos”

The Queen’s Speech timing: the product of what Lynton would call the “coalition of chaos”

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It is extraordinary to reflect that just a week ago this morning all looked set for a certain CON victory with the betting being on a majority of about 80 seats. Everything seemed set for TMay win a workable Commons majority and a victory in her own right. The polls were almost united in their view and the only clouds on the horizon were the then discredited YouGov model and Survation’s numbers which were dismissed as an outlier. It appeared…

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I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May doesn’t quit as PM a Tory MP will go all Leo Amery at her very soon

I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May doesn’t quit as PM a Tory MP will go all Leo Amery at her very soon

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Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down … it depends by how much … if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit — Zora Suleman (@ZoraSuleman) June 9, 2017 With Brexit negotiations starting in 10 days time, Tories will have to go all magic circle/coronation for Theresa May's replacement, — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2017 Two results that sum up the awfulness of the results in England for the Tories pic.twitter.com/OybdkpjS4W — TSE…

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If you’re not mentally prepared for Corbyn as Prime Minister, then you should be.

If you’re not mentally prepared for Corbyn as Prime Minister, then you should be.

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If you're not mentally prepared for Corbyn as PM after the election then you should be. pic.twitter.com/x2cwzjnDPh — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2017 So far this is utter vindication for Corbyn's approach to article 50 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2017 Labour HOLD Wrexham.Tories were hoping to take this. pic.twitter.com/cOfRzPxNIX — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 #GE2017: Wrexham:Lab: 48.9% (+11.7)Con: 43.7% (+12.0)PC: 5.0% (-2.6)LDem: 2.4% (-2.9)No UKIP. — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 Labour HOLD Darlington.Should have been…

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Remember how at EURef Newcastle and Sunderland gave us the first pointers as to what was to come

Remember how at EURef Newcastle and Sunderland gave us the first pointers as to what was to come

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What can we expect from tonight first declarations? Newcastle East The 2015 result in Newcastle East now being tipped to be the first seat to declare. Should be easy LAB hold but how will CON do? pic.twitter.com/Fs6bnx27EM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 8, 2017 Houghton & Sunderland South GE2015 result from Houghton & Sunderland S also being tipped to be one of the first to declare pic.twitter.com/eFBVpQufuB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 8, 2017 On June 23rd lat year it…

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Punters stick with the ICM/ComRes view of the election – not YouGov/Survation

Punters stick with the ICM/ComRes view of the election – not YouGov/Survation

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If the gamblers are right then it’s a 70+ CON majority Two new lots of polling data out so far today reflecting the two sides of the polling divide that characterises GE2017. The latest ICM, with its post-GE2015 turnout model has CON with a 11% lead which would see TMay meet her goal of having an increased majority. The YouGov model continues to have the lead at just 4% and seat projections suggesting that the Tories will be 20 seats…

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Author & ex-political journalist, Robert Harris, suggests TMay might be making Heath’s 1974 mistake

Author & ex-political journalist, Robert Harris, suggests TMay might be making Heath’s 1974 mistake

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May reminiscent of Heath in 74. Called an opportunistic election when far ahead in polls & then campaign unravelled under scrutiny — Robert Harris (@Robert___Harris) May 29, 2017 During the big C4/Sky News event last night the best-selling author and former political journalist, Robert Harris, posted the above tweet pointing to the similarities between TMay going to the country three years early and Heath’s calling of the February 1974 election with a possible year and a half still to go….

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The first two polls of tonight show the Tory lead halving in a month

The first two polls of tonight show the Tory lead halving in a month

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The @OpiniumResearch poll Con 45 (-1) Lab 35 (+2) LD 7 (-1) UKIP 5 (nc) Look at the leader ratings. FW Tues/Wed https://t.co/OKZIp0G1Q6 pic.twitter.com/JnPsr7bx5J — TSE (@TSEofPB) May 27, 2017 Con 12-pt lead @ComRes for @Independent & @TheSundayMirrorCon 46% -2Lab 34% +4LD 8% -2UKIP 5% 0Green 2% -1(Changes since 2 weeks ago) — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) May 27, 2017 Corbyn leads by 23 points on best to protect old people who need social care @ComRes for @Independent https://t.co/XuXHxV9ZUf — John…

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TMay U-turns on her controversial manifesto social care policy

TMay U-turns on her controversial manifesto social care policy

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Theresa May’s 9 U-turns https://t.co/5rfqideq4d — FT Westminster (@ftwestminster) May 22, 2017 Delete Strong & Stable replace Strong & Swerving With just two weeks and 2 days of campaigning left Mrs. May has u-turned on one of the flagship policies in her manifesto – the plans for social care. This follows a sharp move in some polls although even on present numbers she is sure of a substantial working majority. In all the time I’ve been writing about politics (my…

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