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In political campaigns cash can make a huge difference So far I don’t think there has been a mention at all on PB of Tom Steyer even though he is still very much in the race for the Democratic nomination and is one of the select few who are still qualifying to take part in the TV debates. His approach throughout is to build up awareness by spending big first to reach the polling thresholds to take part in the…

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The 2020 election will be decided on middle-class economic issues. If Democrats want to instead focus the debate on whether we should be tough on Iran, they will not win the 2020 election. — Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) January 9, 2020

Cast your mind back to the Monday after the general election when it became clear that Corbyn would be standing aside and that a leadership contest would be held. On that afternoon all the money started to go on RLB as successor and she reached a 51% chance on Betfair. At the same time Starmer was struggling to be taken seriously and was in third place in the betting behind Nandy on just 10%. It struck me seeing what has…

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But time is running out to get the MP nominations In a development that is widely seen as representing the doubts that hangover Long Bailey as a leadership contender the shadow development secretary Barry Gardiner, is reported to be mulling over entering the race himself. He’s actually at a conference in Abu Dhabi at the moment and any move would be liable to failure because there is so little time left to secure the 22 MP nominations to get into…

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It’s hard to see now how he can fail to get on the final ballot The big LAB leadership news this afternoon has been that the country’s biggest played union , Unison , has announced that it will back Starmer. The Union which has 1.3 million members decided on the move saying that it believed he was the one best placed to unite the movement and regain public trust in Labour. This follows him reaching a key milestone in the…

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The one best placed for LAB to reconnect with its lost voters? In the next few days we’re going to spend a lot of time checking the spreadsheet showing the MP support for different contenders in the Labour leader nomination race. The first stage, on getting support of fellow party MPs, closes next Monday and to go forward to the next round contenders have to have 22 fellow MP backers. The big surprise after the first couple of days has…

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We are now less than four weeks off the Iowa caucuses – the first election in the prolonged process of choosing the Democratic nominee. Even though the polls have Buttigieg, Biden and Bernie level-pegging that’s not how punters see it. The 78yo socialist from Vermont who is not even a Democrat is attracting the bets as having the best chance. The caucuses are a very unusual form of election. At meetings across 1600+ locations in the state voters gather to…

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