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Category: Coalition

If there is a Lib Dem contest it won’t be a walkover for Vince

If there is a Lib Dem contest it won’t be a walkover for Vince

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Norman Lamb could be the establishment flag-bearer I’m far from convinced that Nick Clegg is about to be ousted or agree to walk of his own accord. He strikes me as an extraordinarily resilient figure and he’ll aim to finish off what he’s started. Having said that I was tempted yesterday by the 16/1 that Ladbrokes was offering on him going during 2012. But if there is a leadership election it’s going to be a bigger challenge for Vince Cable…

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Are Dave and Nick just too weak for a big reshuffle?

Are Dave and Nick just too weak for a big reshuffle?

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There could be less change than expected This is supposed to be the week of the long-awaited reshuffle which will produce the new line-up of ministers who’ll take the coalition partners into the general election. There’s been lots of speculation and, of course, betting particularly on our old favourite – the next cabinet exit markets. If more than one minister goes on the same day then some bookies, though by no means all, will pay out according to their dead…

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Ignore national White House polling: Ohio is the key

Ignore national White House polling: Ohio is the key

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The state that’s most likely to be the “tipping point” Everything in US presidential election is about the so called “swing states” – the ones that can move every four years and have a huge impact on the overall result. There are about twelve of them and the most important of all is Ohio which, according to the US polling and election expert, Nate Silver has a 30% chance of being the “tipping point” state – meaning that it would…

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Henry G Manson on the Wealth Tax

Henry G Manson on the Wealth Tax

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Henry G Manson asks could Clegg’s wealth tax cause trouble for rival parties? It would be easy to dismiss Nick Clegg’s demand for a new emergency tax on the wealthy as a gimmick that won’t last longer than the soggy sausage rolls of his party conference. Very easy. The detail isn’t there, his party’s spokesmen are unaware of the what it involves yet and there is the uncomfortable fact that the he signed up to the cut in the top…

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The August Ipsos MORI Issues Index

The August Ipsos MORI Issues Index

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Ipsos-Mori have released their August Issues Index. The fieldwork was conducted during the Olympics. They note That despite the public’s captivation with London 2012, the economy and unemployment remains top of their agenda. Three fifths (61%) of the public mention the economy as one of the most important issues facing Britain today. This polling has been carried out in the same way for 37 years and involves interviewees being asked face to face and completely unprompted to name the main issues they are…

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