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Category: Coalition

Is Vince the man to save the Tories?

Is Vince the man to save the Tories?

Would a Cable-led Lib Dems restore the status quo ante? The establishment of Britain’s first coalition government has had many political consequences but one of the most significant has been the shattering of the Lib Dem’s electoral coalition. Since the election, some pollsters suggest they’ve lost more than half their vote, with most of that going to Labour. If translated into actual votes, that would give Labour a substantial election victory in 2015 and leave the Lib Dems returning to…

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Thursday in the PB NightHawks Cafe

Thursday in the PB NightHawks Cafe

Edmund in Tokyo joins the PB guest slot team I am pleased to report that Edmund in Tokyo has agreed to join our team of regular guest columnists alongside David Herdson and Henry G Manson. I’ve long been impressed by Ed’s insights particularly his ability to analyse that critical area, messaging. He’s certainly added to my understanding of the political process. He’s also sharp on betting value. Unlike David Herdson and Henry Edmund won’t have a weekly slot but will…

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Are we seeing the first moves of the 2015 coalition?

Are we seeing the first moves of the 2015 coalition?

Ladbrokes are offering 6/1 against a LAB-LD pact The revelations that Labour leader, Ed Miliband is in, apparently, regular text contact with Vince Cable is intriguing. According to the Sun he told a think tank that “Wisdom doesn’t reside in one party”. So what’s going on? Is EdM merely trying to keep his lines of communication open just in case he needs the yellows after the general election? Or could it be that Vince Cable could provide the answer to…

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Could Justine be the next cabinet casualty?

Could Justine be the next cabinet casualty?

One member of the gvt says they considered firing Justine Greening on the spot because of her tantrum on reshuffle day — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 7, 2012 Justine Greening didn’t want International Development brief and told No10 she didn’t believe in the budget ringfence thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/polit… — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 7, 2012 No10 admits PM was drinking on sacking night, sharing a glass with Ken. But no ‘sipping’ while sacking Cheryl Gillan thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/polit… — Sam Coates Times…

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Next PB get together at Dirty Dicks: Oct 25th from 6.30pm

Next PB get together at Dirty Dicks: Oct 25th from 6.30pm

Hope you can make the next PB gathering Thanks to Fat Steve for once again organising this. We are having another informal get-together at the historic Dirty Dicks pub opposite the main entrance to Liverpool Street station in London. These events have become a regular part of the PB scene over the years and the venue works well. Whatever your connection with PB – whether you are a poster or not – you’ll be most welcome. Put the date in…

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Shifting to the right could make the blues’ task harder

Shifting to the right could make the blues’ task harder

Is it wise for Dave to abandon the centre ground? However you view the changes in Dave’s cabinet line-up it’s hard not to conclude that this marks a shift to the right – nowhere more than with the appointment of non-lawyer, Chris Grayling, as the Justice Secretary – taking over from Ken Clarke who, according to the polling, was one of the most popular Tories in the cabinet. This is the judgement of the Spectator’s James Forsyth In policy terms,…

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The scale of the reshuffle looks bigger than was thought

The scale of the reshuffle looks bigger than was thought

Will it make the blues more popular? The day is going to be dominated by the reshuffle as hour by hour new details emerge. At the moment it’s hard to be confident about the winners and losers and all eyes will be on which of the 2010 Tory intake will get preferment. From what has emerged overnight it seems that Dave has sacked Cheryl Gillan , the Welsh Secretary, Ken Clarke , and Andrew Lansley – the ex-SDPer who was…

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2 polls have the LDs getting a big boost with Cable as leader

2 polls have the LDs getting a big boost with Cable as leader

And LAB drops 4% when Ed Miliband is named as leader? The Liberal Democrats would significantly improve their prospects at the next general election if Vince Cable replaced Nick Clegg as leader, according to both ComRes phone survey for tomorrow’s Independent and YouGov for the Sun. ComRes asked three VI question:- When the standard voting question was asked 12% said Lib Dem When Clegg was named as leader this rose to 14%. But when the named LD leader was Vince…

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