Would the Lib Dems secure more seats at the general election with a different leader?
Would the Lib Dems perform better at the general election if Nick Clegg stepped aside as leader? Yes No It would make no difference pollcode.com free polls
UKIP ends 2012 still with zero MPs and holding two fewer council seats
How Farage’s party has done in the year’s local by-elections On the face of it UKIP is riding high and finishing 2012 with, in some polls, shares of up to 16%. Yet in real elections where real voters cast real votes the picture is very different. In the local elections in May Farage’s party ended with no net increase in the number of council seats held and in local by-elections they’ve suffered set-backs. In past three weeks as the national…
The latest YouGov has UKIP equalling its low point with the pollster in more than a month
Today’s YouGov for the Sunday Times has a more familiar look to it. See pie chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 16, 2012 YouGov has voters backing same sex marriage by 55% to 36%.CON supporters are split 45-45 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 16, 2012 63% tell YouGov that they’d be comfortable if a son/daughter came out as being gay.25% said they’d be uncomfortable — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 16, 2012 Update – another online poll has UKIP on…
The party described as mostly fruitcakes and loonies and closet racists by David Cameron hits 14% with ComRes and Opinium
The party described as mostly fruitcakes and loonies and closet racists by David Cameron hits 14% with two online pollsters. UKIP has risen to 14 per cent, its highest ever rating in a ComRes poll, in an exclusive survey for The Independent on Sunday tomorrow, shared with the Sunday Mirror. Labour enjoys an 11-point lead. The LD drop is just 1%. ComRes CON   28% (-3) LAB  39% (-4)  LD  9% (-1) UKIP  14% (+6) In the last ComRes phone…
There should be three online polls overnight
This evening I’m out and will report on the information we have about the weekend polls when I return. At least three are expected – all of them online surveys which cost far less than telephone surveys. There’s ComRes for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror, Opinium for the Observer, and, of course, the regular YouGov for the Sunday Times. Opinium could be interesting in particular for its UKIP share. A fortnight ago in the wake of the by-elections…
On gay marriage Cameron is doing the right thing for the wrong reasons
Henry G Manson on the week’s big issue Prince Metternich supposedly wondered on the death of the French Diplomat Talleyrand: “What did he mean by that?†In this vein it’s worth asking what are the Prime Ministers motives are and what does it tell us about how he sees his and his parties fortunes and future? David Cameron’s support for homosexual marriage is the right thing, yet it seems very odd to me that he has he chosen to do…
Miliband continues to lead Cameron in the Ipsos-MORI leader ratings
This month’s Ipsos – MORI leadership numbers – the detail twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 12, 2012 And Clegg continues to trail The publication of the monthly MORI poll brings with it the firm’s leadership ratings which have been asked in the same way for 37 years making it by the longest such series in UK politics. The question is whether people are satisfied or dissatisfied which is regarded by leading political scientists as the best format. As can…
Gay marriage: How supporters of the different parties view the issue
Chart showing party split breakdown to YouGov’s question on support for gay marriage twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 11, 2012 For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB