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The “grassroots” campaign trying to get Theresa May to run for the CON leadership twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 16, 2013 If so, what does it say about the Tories’ election prospects? When a party is polling poorly or suffering electoral reverses, it follows almost inevitably that its leader will be the subject of speculation as to his or her future.  By the same token, it also follows that the leader’s colleagues – the most likely successors – will…

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Hope you can make the next PB gathering Thanks to Fat Steve for once again organising this. We are having another informal get-together at the historic Dirty Dicks pub opposite the main entrance to Liverpool Street station in London. The day Friday: the Date April 19th: The time – from 6.30 pm onwards In response to several requests we are holding the event on a Friday night in the hope that it will attract more PBers from outside London who…

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Latest Ipsos MORI poll just out has CON down to 27% and LAB lead at 13%.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 14, 2013 Farage has the best leader ratings in his first appearance Latest Ipsos MORI leader ratings sees numbers for Farage for first time &EdM seeing biggest drop.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 14, 2013 The last time that the CON MORI share was 27% was in Jan 2003. Nine months later the leader, IDS,…

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A new Pope is elected twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 13, 2013 The new Pope was not amongst the betting favourites -see Oddschecker closing chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 13, 2013

Sarah Wollaston,MP for Totnes,was one of just 2 CON candidates in 2010 selected in a full open postal primary twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 13, 2013 Open primary winners are less open to persuasion Of all the 650 MPs who were elected in May 2010 Sarah Wollaston was almost unique. For she became Tory candidate following an open primary in July 2009 in which every elector in Totnes, irrespective of their party allegiance, was sent a postal ballot. Other…

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Piie chart of a tonight’s ICM poll showing changes on Mar 2012 when CON was 3% ahead & Ukip on just 1% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 11, 2013 And Ukip down 2 from 9% last month The March ICM poll is just out in the Guardian and shows better numbers for the Tories than last month but still way behind LAB. To put this poll in context in the firm’s survey a year ago, just before George Osborne’s…

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Huhne jailed for 8 months — peterwalker99 (@peterwalker99) March 11, 2013 He was “somewhat but not greatly, in my view, more culpable”, judge tells Pryce of Huhne. — peterwalker99 (@peterwalker99) March 11, 2013 Pryce jailed for 8 months — peterwalker99 (@peterwalker99) March 11, 2013 Totally bonkers giving custodial sentences for a crime that hurt no one #Huhne — charlie whelan (@charliewhelan) March 11, 2013 Not sure a society that prioritises locking up MPs and journalists is doing itself any favours….

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