Today’s front pages after the escalation of Labour’s row with UNITE
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The Coalition has left it too late to benefit from infrastructure
George Osborne in high-vis jacket pic.twitter.com/mDuo5lq5gH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 28, 2013 Henry G Manson on the week’s big political news This week Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander trumpeted a raft of infrastructure investments totalling £100bn. There are some reasons to question with the overall figure. As the Independent says ‘some of the projects, in the best tradition of political spin, had already been announced. Others, it turned out, may never be built at all. But a…
Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Preview
Billericay East on Basildon (Con Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Con 25, Lab 15, Lib Dem 2 (Conservative majority of 8) Current Electoral Cycle Election Results Local Elections  2010 Local Elections  2011 Local Elections  2012 Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Conservatives 4,084 61% 2,626 65% 1,502 58% Labour 737 11% 567 14% 383 15% Liberal Democrats 1,360 20% 528 13% 316 12% UKIP 308 5% 346 9% 409 16% BNP…
LAB moves to 42pc and UKIP slip to fourth in today’s YouGov
YouGov voting intentions table showing how support has been moving away from UKIP In June. Back in 4th place today pic.twitter.com/y2mAJO6k0j — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2013 Labour appears to be benefitting most For the first time since mid-April UKIP has dropped below the LDs in fourth place in the YouGov daily poll. At the same time Labour continues to advance and today’s share and recent results suggest that the party is benefitting most from UKIP going off the…
The biggest challenge for UKIP at #GE2015 will be the wasted vote syndrome
Farage urgently needs MPs from defections and by-elections One of the great general election challenges for parties other than LAB and CON is to persuade people that in their constituency their vote won’t be wasted. The national battle will be portrayed as being between the big two with the threat on either side that a vote for one of the other parties will let the other one in. The Lib Dems have in the past done well in seats where…
So all parties look set to slash pensioners perks
Osborne suggests that pensioners perks like winter fuel allowance could be cut http://t.co/jbEyjR6uAm pic.twitter.com/2UZ6c7mYqS — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2013 An election gamble or just facing reality?
Dave would not have become PM if he’d held out for a minority Conservative government
May 7 2010: Cameron making his offer to the LDs On Friday I took part in a conference panel with Paul Staines and the respected city analyst, David Buik. He made a statement which we’ve heard before from Conservative supporters that Cameron’s big mistake was making his offer to the Lib Dems on the day after the last general election. Buik, and others including a number of Tory MPs and commentators, have argued that the minority Tory government would not…
A guessing game: name the royal baby?
This Marf cartoon first appeared on their wedding day Is form a guide to value? In around a month, Britain and – at least for the time being – fifteen other states around the world will have a new third-in-line to the throne. It’s an event for which there are several betting markets, some more practical than others. As with most markets, correctly predicting the outcome is a combination of luck together with understanding the nature of the event, past…