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Ladbrokes Deputy Speaker 11/8 Laing 3/1 Streeter 4/1 Bellingham 5/1 Burns 8/1 Binley 20/1 Amess 33/1 Dorries pic.twitter.com/XvR30Ci4Zy — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 15, 2013 I can’t get excited about the election of the new deputy speaker to replace Nigel Evans. Usually I like to bet based on some knowledge and detailed analysis. On this one, frankly, I don’t know. The favourite is Eleanor Laing who I met when she chaired a session I was speaking at at the CON conference in October 2009. I liked…

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Just 27% tell ICM that believe "press should get on with regulating itself 64% say there should be to independent, external regulation — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2013 ICM backing for Miliband energy cap 30% say right to let "the market decide" 61% favoured capping — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2013 Thumbs down to Royal Mail pribatisation from ICM sample 63% said privatisation a bad thing leading higher prices and cut 29% say good thing — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2013

Ever since UKIP strong performances in February’s Eastleigh by-election and the May local election there’s been an expectation that the party could top the polls in the May 2014 elections for the European Parliament. The purples were odds-on. They’ve now eased a bit but they remain the favourite. So this latest poll from Survation, the firm that in the past year has constantly given them the best Westminster shares,is going to come as a big disappointment. Farage & co have…

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Henry G Manson on George’s cabinet quip George Osborne is said to have quipped at a Cabinet meeting earlier this year ‘hopefully we will get a little housing boom and everyone will be happy as property values go up.’ Like Gordon Brown before him, Osborne is political to his fingertips and his dual role as general election co-ordinator explicitly reflected that. The policy seems to owe much more to the political tactician rather than the office of Chancellor. The £600,000 cap…

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If you could, would you vote to defeat, replace every member of Congress, including your rep? Yes 60%/ No 35% NBC/WSJ http://t.co/pF79rVI2Cb — PollingReport.com (@pollreport) October 11, 2013 New polling for the Wall Street Journal/NBC suggests that the Republican party rather than President Obama is paying a political price for the government shutdown. By 53% to 31% the sample put the blame on the party. To another question the poll found that just 24% said they had a favourable view…

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