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ComRes online for Indy on Sunday/S Mirror sees CON close gap by 2 CON 30% +1 LAB 35% -1 LD 8%= UKIP 19% +1 Very good for UKIP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2014 ComRes favourability ratings see UKIP the most favoured party The ComRes leader and party favourability ratings 1/2 http://t.co/WCtMUhHkuh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2014 The ComRes leader and party favourability ratings 2/2 http://t.co/Is8KxEWm2L — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 18, 2014 Still to come tonight Opinium and YouGov. Mike Smithson…

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David Herdson’s Saturday Slant George Osborne turned lobbyist this week.  Despite the fact that he is, in theory, one of the most powerful members of the government, his advocacy of an above-inflation increase in the minimum wage carries virtually no weight.  Why?  Because he doesn’t set it – and nor, in effect, does anyone else in the government.  Rises are done on the recommendation of the Low Pay Commission and while ministers can overrule it, doing so defeats the purpose…

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The Ipsos-MORI leader satisfaction ratings for Jan Not much change only Cam down http://t.co/CZI7qSfZtA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 17, 2014 All of them continue to be net negative

Broadheath on Trafford (Con Defence, elected in 2011) Helen Boyle (Labour) 1,377 votes (44%, +4% on 2011) Brenda Houraghan (Conservative) 1,258 votes (41%, -2% on 2011) Ron George (United Kingdom Independence Party) 234 votes (8%, +3% on 2011) Will Jones (Liberal Democrats) 150 votes (5%, -2% on 2011) Joe Ryan (Green) 67 votes (2%, -3% on 2011) Labour GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 119 votes (3%) on a swing from Con to Lab of 3% since 2011 Current…

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Broadheath on Trafford (Con Defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Con 34, Lab 25, Lib Dem 4 (Conservative overall majority of 5) Result of ward in last electoral cycle: 2010: Con 2,569 (42%), Lab 1,799 (29%), Lib Dem 1,519 (25%), Green 247 (4%) 2011: Con 1,879 (43%), Lab 1,757 (40%), Lib Dem 307 (7%), UKIP 205 (5%), Green 202 (5%) 2012: Lab 1,662 (46%), Con 1,397 (39%), UKIP 221 (6%), Green 156 (4%), Lib Dem 152 (4%) Candidates…

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Never have all been rated so badly There’s some interesting polling just been released by Ipsos-MORI on party leadership which has the not so remarkable conclusion that:- “The average combined satisfaction rating of the leaders of the Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat parties is lower today than Ipsos MORI has ever seen in recent history, at an equivalent time before a general election. The average combined net satisfaction score (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied) of the three leaders in December…

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It’s in the Telegraph – it must be true! See the top 60 list here from the Telegraph