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Category: By elections

If we get to a Peterborough by-election it’s going to be a corker of a battle

If we get to a Peterborough by-election it’s going to be a corker of a battle

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Currently, as I’m sure we are all aware, there is a recall petition taking place in Peterborough seeking to get a by-election following the conviction and jailing of the incumbent MP who won the seat for LAB from the Tories at the last general election. The petition closes on May 1st and we should know within a couple of days of that whether 10% of the electors in the constituency have demanded that their MP be recalled. If it does…

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As we wait for the Newport result an interesting chart on the rise Pete Buttigieg for the WH2020 Democratic nomination

As we wait for the Newport result an interesting chart on the rise Pete Buttigieg for the WH2020 Democratic nomination

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Here you can see how @PeteButtigieg has risen in search interest this year.https://t.co/yaz7Sm5f8g pic.twitter.com/78pxqB7TkJ — GoogleTrends (@GoogleTrends) April 1, 2019 There ‘s little doubt that the “story” of the WH2020 Dem race in recent weeks has been the rise and rise of the 37 year old gay mayor of a small city in Indiana to be the Dem nominee. The latest news is that his fundraising in going well $7m in Q1 which while not in the Sanders’ league is…

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PB’s man in Wales, Harry Hayfield, on today’s Newport West by-election

PB’s man in Wales, Harry Hayfield, on today’s Newport West by-election

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Only the second GB by-election of the parliament The Newport West by-election caused by the death of Paul Flynn, who gained the seat in 1987 from the Conservatives, was always going to be held in the shadow of Brexit. Chris Hanratty’s estimates shows that the constituency voted LEAVE by 53% to 47% and the council area voted LEAVE by 56% to 44%, but there is more, much more to Newport than how it voted in the referendum, so let’s take…

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Meanwhile what’s been happening in the local elections

Meanwhile what’s been happening in the local elections

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Harry Hayfield’s March 2019 Local By-Election Summary Labour 6,624 votes (32% unchanged on last time) winning 6 seats (unchanged on last time) Conservatives 5,024 votes (24% -1% on last time) winning 1 seat (unchanged on last time) Liberal Democrats 3,626 votes (17% +4% on last time) winning 2 seats (unchanged on last time) Green Party 1,641 votes (8% +1% on last time) winning 1 seat (+1 on last time) Independents 1,154 votes (6% -3% on last time) winning 1 seat…

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A possible Westminster by-election opportunity for the LDs – Brecon where the MP has just pleaded guilty to fraud

A possible Westminster by-election opportunity for the LDs – Brecon where the MP has just pleaded guilty to fraud

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The last two elections in Brecon & Radnor where the MP has just pleaded guilty to parliamentary expenses fraud. This was a seat held by the LDs from 1997 to 2015 pic.twitter.com/dwFTWMEDLh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2019 It was held by the LDs from GE1997 to GE2015 This morning the MP for Brecon and Radnor, Christopher Davies, pleaded guilty to parliamentary expenses fraud. He awaits sentence. If he receives a custodial sentence of a year or more than…

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Betting on a Peterborough by election in 2019

Betting on a Peterborough by election in 2019

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A 16% return in just over a month? This market by Ladbrokes is not on the result of any potential by election but whether there will be one in 2019. The recall petition in Peterborough opens on Tuesday and ends on the 1st of May 2019 meaning this bet will pay out in a little over six weeks. I think the nature of the conviction and claiming a salary whilst in prison would enrage voters in all circumstances. Coupled with the…

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With the top 2 in Newport West looking pretty certain the interesting bets are the LAB share and which party comes third

With the top 2 in Newport West looking pretty certain the interesting bets are the LAB share and which party comes third

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But we can’t let a by-election go by without a punt One of the features of this Parliament has been the relative absence of by-elections. In the 21 months since the general election they have been just two and now a third one is due to take place on April 4th in Newport West to fill the vacancy created by the death of Paul Flynn. The seat has been in LAB hands for some time and at the last election…

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Next step for Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya – facing a recall petition which could trigger a by-election

Next step for Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya – facing a recall petition which could trigger a by-election

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Whoever wins a by-election can thank Nick Clegg This morning the Peterborough MP Fiona Onasanya, who won the seat for LAB from CON at GE2017, lost her appeal against her conviction and is now facing recall petition. This was a process introduced by Nick Clegg during the coalition and allows constituents to demand that their MP be recalled provided that 10% of the total numbers on the electoral in the constituency demand one and one of a number of conditions…

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