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Category: By elections

The “Plebgate Aftermath”: A Sutton Coldfield by-election could now be nailed on

The “Plebgate Aftermath”: A Sutton Coldfield by-election could now be nailed on

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http://t.co/Mjk8tWGtRK http://t.co/fvMSatzc3U — PolPics (@PolPics) January 12, 2014 Will Mitchell be resigning this year anyway? The guilty plea in the trial of the PC who falsely made up evidence about the Plebgate affair has been used by Andrew Mitchell’s friends as vindication of his position.  It’s not quite that – if he wasn’t there then the substance of what was said remains disputed – but it hasn’t done anything for the police case. Demands for Mitchell’s reinstatement to cabinet would…

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Wythenshawe and Sale E could be a dry run for Toby Young’s tactical voting campaign

Wythenshawe and Sale E could be a dry run for Toby Young’s tactical voting campaign

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http://t.co/Vru6eBegqP http://t.co/ZAEV366pJS — PolPics (@PolPics) January 11, 2014 @AndrewCooper__ @LordAshcroft I hope you'll both join me in urging all good Tories in Wyenshawe and Sale to vote UKIP #CountryB4Party — Toby Young (@toadmeister) January 11, 2014 An interesting development in the past week has been a move by Tony Young to encourage CON>UKIP and UKIP>CON tactical voting in key marginal seats. Such schemes have been seen before between the reds and yellows but this is the first I’ve seen from…

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Dramatic council by-election boost for UKIP in Suffolk

Dramatic council by-election boost for UKIP in Suffolk

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Huge UKIP GAIN from CON at Haverhill East on St Edmundsbury DC UKIP 529 Lab 240 Con 157 LD 54 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2014 If this is the shape of things to come all the main parties are in trouble Vote share changes from 2011 in the Haverhill, Suffolk, district council by election UKIP 54% +54 LAB 24.5% -12.7 CON 16% -31.9 LD 5.5% -9.4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 10, 2014 The one qualification was that the turnout, at 18.5%, was very low. Even…

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Local By-Election Preview : January 9th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : January 9th 2014

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Haverhill East on St. Edmundsbury (Con Defence) Result of last election to council (2011): Con 38, Ind 4, Lab 3 (Conservative overall majority of 31 Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 834, 664, 662 (55%) Labour 648, 636 (33%) Liberal Democrats 260, 188 (12%) Candidates duly nominated: Tony Brown (UKIP), Pat Hanlon (Lab), David Roach (Con), Ken Rolph (Lib Dem) This will be the fourth by-election to St. Edmundsbury since the 2011 local elections and…

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If UKIP gets its act together in Wythenshawe and Sale East it can give Labour a run for its money

If UKIP gets its act together in Wythenshawe and Sale East it can give Labour a run for its money

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The result from Wythenshawe & Sale E at GE2010 Looks like a LAB hold on reduced turnout but could UKUP do something? pic.twitter.com/Sfkud1U3my — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 8, 2014 The purples can’t go on getting good 2nd places – they need MPs The sad and untimely death at the age of 60 of the popular former minister, Paul Goggins, creates what could be a tricky by-election defence for Labour and an opportunity for UKIP. For in spite of all the…

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My New Year wish: Some interesting by-elections in NON LAB seats

My New Year wish: Some interesting by-elections in NON LAB seats

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A decade of by-electons on PB In March PB will be celebrating its tenth anniversary and in looking back over the decade it’s worth reflecting how important Westminster by-elections have been to the site’s development and growth. It first began to establish itself and get noticed in July 2004 with two fiercely fought contests in the LAB seats of Leicester South which went to the Lib Dems and Birmingham Hodge Hill which brought Labour’s Liam Byrne into the Commons. Two…

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Final tally of local by-election changes for 2013 sees the Tories as the main losers

Final tally of local by-election changes for 2013 sees the Tories as the main losers

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Conservative GAINS From Labour: Leashowe and Moreton East (Wirral), Earls Barton (Wellingborough), Disraeli (Wycombe), Arbury (Nuneaton and Bedworth) From Liberal Democrat: Warden Hill (Cheltenham), Chase (Malvern Hills), Balsham (South Cambridgeshire), Sunbury East (Spelthorne), Greendown (Vale of the White Horse), Beverley (Kingston upon Thames), Maybury and Sheerwater (Woking), Comberton (South Cambridgeshire), Iver Village and Richings Park (South Buckinghamshire) From United Kingdom Independence Party: St. Mary’s (Worcestershire) From Independents: Sawton (South Cambridgeshire), Newby (Scarborough) From Others: Firthville from East Lindsey Independents (East…

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My best political bet of 2013 – the 14-1 “certainty”

My best political bet of 2013 – the 14-1 “certainty”

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Money piles on independent Danny Supple in the Hills win w/o top 4 market. In from 14/1 to 4/1 following Survation. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 24, 2013 Making money reading the poll detail My definition of a great bet is one where my reading is that the outcome is a near certainty and the odds are longer than evens. This doesn’t happen often but in the weekend before the Eastleigh by election in February such an opportunity opened…

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