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Category: By elections

In Oldham UKIP needs to be bettering or matching its Heywood and Middleton performance to show it still has momentum

In Oldham UKIP needs to be bettering or matching its Heywood and Middleton performance to show it still has momentum

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John Bickley UKIP – 2nd favourite to win Oldham by-election https://t.co/9vjHVDFG2y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 With the EU dominating the headlines the time should be ripe for the Purples Because it is the first by-election of the current parliament and because of its proximity to Heywood & Middleton where UKIP came very close just over a year ago expectations are running very high for UKIP in Oldham. The candidate is the same and, like Heywood, Oldham West…

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Why we need more than the basic win market for the Oldham by-election

Why we need more than the basic win market for the Oldham by-election

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According to Betfair punters LAB is rock solid in Oldham by-election with 92.5% chance of victory pic.twitter.com/m9THvWH3Dk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 10, 2015 The battle for the lower positions is what’s interesting The panel above shows the latest position on Betfair in the Oldham by-election. Just about all the money is being wagered on Labour and it is very difficult to see any betting interest in going against that. The judgement of punters so far is that Labour’s new…

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Tim Farron’s big gamble in the Oldham W & R by-election

Tim Farron’s big gamble in the Oldham W & R by-election

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Delighted to join @Jane4OldhamWR & kick off our Oldham West & Royton campaign today. Jane is a brilliant campaigner pic.twitter.com/96rdPyZNzs — Tim Farron (@timfarron) November 7, 2015 If they fail to make progress it’ll be his failure The most interesting Oldham by election development this weekend has been the decision by new Lib Dem leader, Tim Farron, to take a high profile role there. This is the first such contest since his party’s disastrous performance on May 7th, the first…

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What the parties should be looking for in Oldham

What the parties should be looking for in Oldham

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How LAB is using Douglas Carswell's tax credit vote in the Oldham W & R by-election. pic.twitter.com/aaEdtgLyZ9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 5, 2015 Joy, meh and despair So for the second parliament running, the first by-election in it will take place in Oldham. Unlike neighbouring Oldham East & Saddleworth, Michael Meacher’s former seat does not, on the face of it, look all that interesting: it reliably returned Labour members for decades and did so with a majority of close…

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Local By-Election Results : November 5th 2015

Local By-Election Results : November 5th 2015

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Huntly, Strathbogie and the Howe of Alford on Aberdeenshire (SNP and Lib Dem defence) Result: Conservative 1,469 (36% +9%), Scottish National Party 1,433 (35% unchanged), Liberal Democrats 928 (23% +5%), Labour 196 (5%, no candidate in 2012), Scottish Libertarians 20 (0%, no candidate in 2012) No candidate elected on first preferences. Scottish National Party elected (HOLD) and Conservative Party elected (GAIN) Clifton with Maidenway on Torbay (Lib Dem defence) Result: Liberal Democrat 1,096 (69% +39%), Conservative 234 (15% -14%), United…

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Two Lib Dem defences and one SNP one in tonight’s local by-elections

Two Lib Dem defences and one SNP one in tonight’s local by-elections

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Huntly, Strathbogie and the Howe of Alford on Aberdeenshire (SNP and Lib Dem defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Scottish National Party 28, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 12, Independents 11, Labour 2, Green Party 1 (No Overall Control, SNP short by 7) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Scottish National Party 830, 600 (35%) Conservatives 1,091 (27%) Liberal Democrats 752 (18%) Independents 593 (14%) Green Party 256 (6%) Candidates duly nominated: Sarah Flavell…

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Corbyn’s activist army as well as the new leader will be on trial in Oldham on December 3rd

Corbyn’s activist army as well as the new leader will be on trial in Oldham on December 3rd

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Activism is about knocking on doors on dark cold November evenings The results of today’s election of committee chairs by LAB MPs highlights the massive gulf between the parliamentary party and the new leader. As George Eaton in the Staggers reports the outcome was a triumph for the right. An indication of how badly it went for Team Corbyn was that “Of the 17 commitee chairs, 11 supported Liz Kendall’s leadership campaign, including Tristram Hunt (Communities and Local Government), Ivan…

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John Bickley looks set to be UKIP’s choice in Oldham & Royton

John Bickley looks set to be UKIP’s choice in Oldham & Royton

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UKIP set to choose John Bickley for Oldham & R by election. He came within whisker in Oct 2014 Heywood by-election pic.twitter.com/h99YY4SzvR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 3, 2015 Can he repeat his Heywood & Middleton magic? One of the huge shocks, and what in retrospect turned out to be a good pointer to GE2015, was the way that UKIP ran LAB so close in the October 2014 by-election Heywood & Middleton which is very close to Oldham. This, like…

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