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Category: By elections

UPDATED Heathrow expansion to go ahead: Zac Goldsmith resigns

UPDATED Heathrow expansion to go ahead: Zac Goldsmith resigns

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Exclusive: @ZacGoldsmith resigns pic.twitter.com/asanAlwT5b — Martha Gill (@Martha_Gill) October 25, 2016 In Richmond Park constituency the EURef split wasREMAIN 72%LEAVE 28%Zac was a leaver — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2016 As had been widely predicted Theresa May’s government has decided to go ahead with the expansion of Heathrow. A third runway will be added to the two that have been in place there for 70 years. A short time ago Zac Goldsmith announced that he was quitting his Richmond…

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CON hold Witney with a much reduced majority & the LDs coming 2nd securing a 19.3% CON to LD swing

CON hold Witney with a much reduced majority & the LDs coming 2nd securing a 19.3% CON to LD swing

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Witney result:CON: 45.1% (-15.1)LDEM: 30.2% (+23.5)LAB: 15.0% (-2.2)GRN: 3.5% (-1.5)UKIP: 3.5% (-5.6) — Britain Elects (@britainelects) October 21, 2016 GRN & UKIP lose deposits with the purples coming 5th In the end the Witney by-election ended up very much as predicted. The numbers above are pretty close to what Shadsy of Ladbrokes had projected in the Tweet I’d highlighted in the previous thread. For a party with double digit leads in all the national polls the Tory vote drop in…

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The by-election thread with Witney the main focus

The by-election thread with Witney the main focus

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A crossroads for all parties This was a by-election that appeared so boring when Cameron stepped down as an MP that Shadsy of Ladbroke opened the betting with the Tories at 1/500. This meant a £1,000 winning bet would have produced a profit of just £2. So anything other than a Tory win by a clear margin must still be the likely outcome. The LDs, who’ve been doing exceptionally well in local council elections of late, have thrown everything into…

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Is Witney saving all its love for EU?

Is Witney saving all its love for EU?

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Liberal Democrats backed into 10/1 from 50/1 to win Thursday's Witney by-election after a rush of money… https://t.co/BKFhwPC3TT pic.twitter.com/s3Renglv4P — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) October 18, 2016 Ladbrokes report that betting on the Witney by-election is the highest ever for a by-election. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 18, 2016 This by-election could be pivotal to the type of Brexit Mrs May’s government tries and obtains, and if she decides to hold an early general election. If the Lib Dems do pull…

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Get ready for another CON by-election defence if the Heathrow expansion is given the go-ahead

Get ready for another CON by-election defence if the Heathrow expansion is given the go-ahead

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Sun Zac’s 23k majority looks strong One of the most predicted by-elections of this parliament, at Zac Goldsmith’s Richmond Park, looks set to come about if the government, as expected very shortly, announces that it is going ahead with the expansion at Heathrow. Zac, of course, was the Tory candidate in May’s London Mayoral election and would likely have resigned his seat then if he’d beaten Sadiq Khan. That wasn’t to be but Zac’s long-standing threat to resign if LHR3…

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Mrs May must be hoping that the Tories do better in Thursday’s Witney contest than in recent local by elections

Mrs May must be hoping that the Tories do better in Thursday’s Witney contest than in recent local by elections

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The blue team’s performance is “less than optimal” This weekend is a massive one in the Witney Westminster by-election campaign the first such contest since 2014. There are only four days left and each of the parties have been throwing everything into it to ensure they get the best possible result. Defending Cameron’s 43% majority at GE2015 the Tories have quite a big comfort blanket and it is hard to see anything other than CON hold. The LDs are at…

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Nine days to go to the by-election and a report from on the ground in Witney

Nine days to go to the by-election and a report from on the ground in Witney

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William Hill latest prices Do the betting odds have it right? Witney is a safe Tory seat was made ultra safe by the relatively equal division between Reds and Yellows plus the bonus of having the PM as MP. Last time out Labour thumped Lib Dems in the undercard. In the referendum Remain won 54-46. The constituency can be divided into three rough blocks Witney and Chipping Norton – Con v Lab The fringe of Oxford (Woodstock, Charlbury) Con v…

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