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Category: By elections

What Corbyn’s re-election and the huge increase in membership is doing to LAB as an electoral force

What Corbyn’s re-election and the huge increase in membership is doing to LAB as an electoral force

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Ignore polls. Focus on real elections when real voters cast real votes We’ve just gone through a political period that hasn’t been experienced for 30 years. – three consecutive Westminster by-elections in CON seats. For one of the strange facts about UK by-elections in recent times is that vacancies, for whatever reason, have mostly occurred in LAB held seats and CON defences have been rare. So this period since October when we’ve had Witney, Richmond Park, and Sleaford + Hykehem…

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Looking at Leigh in Gtr Manchester – the seat which Paul Nuttall is planning to contest in the likely by-election

Looking at Leigh in Gtr Manchester – the seat which Paul Nuttall is planning to contest in the likely by-election

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What are the chances for UKIP’s new leader? On May 4th, less than five months away, the MP for Leigh and twice failed LAB leadership contender, Andy Burnham, will be the LAB candidate for the newly created elected mayoralty of Greater Manchester – a position which was very much the brain-child of George Osborne as part of his “Northern Powerhouse” project. Ladbrokes make Burnham the 1/6 favourite to take what would be the most powerful elected mayoralty after London and…

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Can Labour really sleepwalk another 3 and a half years into disaster?

Can Labour really sleepwalk another 3 and a half years into disaster?

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Their position continues to get worse, gradually Lincolnshire has a habit of producing earthquakes. One in 1185 was powerful enough to badly damage Lincoln Cathedral. A more recent example, centred near Market Rasen at about 1am on 27 Feb 2008, was strong enough to wake people across large parts of the North and Midlands. To go by the reporting, the Sleaford & North Hykeham by-election didn’t generate similar tremors. The reporting is wrong; politics’ tectonic plates continue to move. The…

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This might be reading it all wrong but the LAB vote share is the big interest tomorrow in Sleaford and Hykeham N

This might be reading it all wrong but the LAB vote share is the big interest tomorrow in Sleaford and Hykeham N

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Corbyn in Sleaford where tomorrow's by-election is taking place pic.twitter.com/Xg4s3lW8gf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2016 William Hill have not taken a single bet on Labour winning the Sleaford by-election, for which they are currently quoted at odds of 80/1. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 7, 2016 7/2 for the Lib Dems to get over 20% in tomorrow's Sleaford & N.Hykeham by-election #libdemfightbackhttps://t.co/PLd73nh62q pic.twitter.com/VND8nZPHu7 — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) December 7, 2016 Sleaford & Hykeham N. What happened at GE…

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Thurday’s Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election – A certain CON hold or could we see a surprise?

Thurday’s Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election – A certain CON hold or could we see a surprise?

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An opportunity for UKIP’s Doctor Nuttall? While there’s been a huge amount of focus on Richmond Park the by-election in Sleaford and North Hykeham has received far less attention – both from the parties themselves and the media. The result from last time makes it difficult to see other than a CON hold on a very much reduced turnout. The fact that it is happening in December so close to Christmas is surely going to depress the number of voters…

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Tonight’s local by-election

Tonight’s local by-election

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Carnoustie and District (SNP defence) on Angus Result of council at last election (2012): Scottish National Party 15, Independents 8, Conservatives 4, Labour 1, Liberal Democrat 1 (Scottish National Party majority of 1) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Independents 483, 1,750 (51%) Scottish National Party 582, 1,029 (36%) Labour 274 (6%) Conservatives 271 (6%) Liberal Democrat 41 (1%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 32,747 (55%) LEAVE 26,511 (45%) on a turnout of 68% Candidates duly nominated:…

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UKIP has ceased to be a serious player and the BBC should stop pandering to them

UKIP has ceased to be a serious player and the BBC should stop pandering to them

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Last night we had Radio 4’s Any Questions in town. It was a good evening except for the fact that there was no Lib Dem on the panel. Instead we had as well as the statutory LAB & CON rep an SNP MP and the barely coherent deputy UKIP leader, Peter Whittle. You’d have thought that the BBC planners would have figured out that the Richmond by-election was taking place the day before and would likely feature a Lib Dem…

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