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Category: Budget

Farage’s locals strategy takes a knock as it loses more of the seats won in May

Farage’s locals strategy takes a knock as it loses more of the seats won in May

LAB has put huge effort into taking back #Thetford W from UKIP – a seat they lost by 1 vote on May 2. See pic.twitter.com/jfbKfhKFzG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 Tonight's results mean that UKIP has lost every seat won on May 2nd which they have had to defend in a by-election — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 1, 2013 But it’s not all been negative for the purples It might be August but it’s been a big night of…

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First post-budget poll sees CON up 2 and Ukip down 2 – but all changes within margin of error

First post-budget poll sees CON up 2 and Ukip down 2 – but all changes within margin of error

CON up 2, Ukip down 2 in first post-budget daily poll but otherwise very little change. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2013 We’ve just got the first post-budget voting figures from YouGov which are all within the margin of error. Only change on yesterday is CON up 2 with Ukip down 2. If the blue hope was that the budget would be a game-changer there is no sign of it yet. No doubt there’ll be lots of new…

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Marf on the budget aftermath and GE2015 betting prospects

Marf on the budget aftermath and GE2015 betting prospects

Site notice. There is likely to be some down-time today with the site We are doing a major upgrade as well as experimenting with the comments system. How the betting markets see GE2015 Betfair punters make LAB overall majority 43.9% fav for #GE205 . Hung parliament: 35.5%. Table based on last trades. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013 Where the money is going on #Eastleigh for #GE2015. Oddschecker chart. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013

The Tories take to Twitter in an ingenious “poster” campaign

The Tories take to Twitter in an ingenious “poster” campaign

The Tories have launched a Twitter poster campaign using 6 Budget plans.Not sure that Aspiration Nation quite works twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013 Another of the Tory Twitter posters based on a Budget proposal -this on the help for new home buyers twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 21, 2013 Will George’s budget be a narrative changer? Featured above are 2 of 6 Tory Twitter ads that have been issued overnight. This is quite an interesting way…

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A year ago Osborne was joint fav with Boris to be Dave’s successor. Maybe he’s got something up his sleeve for today.

A year ago Osborne was joint fav with Boris to be Dave’s successor. Maybe he’s got something up his sleeve for today.

A year ago Betfair punters rated Osborne’s CON leadership chances at 24%. Today’s last trade 5.5% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2013 William Hill’s budget specials. bit.ly/u6wr8r twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2013 PaddyPower “cliche” budget specials. Some interesting bets bit.ly/I8PkIO twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2013

Budget betting – the latest

Budget betting – the latest

Budget bet on how long Osbo will speak unchanged. Sporting Index spread 56.5-57.5 minutes. bit.ly/S7X14T. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 19, 2013 Bet on number of sips that Osbo will have edges up.Sporting Index spread now 4.8 to 5.2 bit.ly/S7X14T twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 19, 2013 The budget ‘buzzword bingo’ betting, has seen Cyprus backed from 4/1 into odds-on (4/5). Hard to see how Osbo can avoid — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 19, 2013