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Category: BREXIT

Ruth Davidson’s Scottish successes saved TMay’s bacon on June 8th but that comes at a price

Ruth Davidson’s Scottish successes saved TMay’s bacon on June 8th but that comes at a price

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The mathematics of the Tory power struggle The chart is very simple but illustrates clearly why Scottish Conservative leader feels able to to put pressure on TMay over the PM’s hardline immigration rhetoric. Davidson is making a pro-immigration argument that’s rarely heard from a Conservative. She says ‘with the country on the road to full employment, potential for growth is facing ever greater limitations’ without the boost from immigrants. The Scottish Conservative leader attacks May for her “easy slogans” on…

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Latest Brexit trackers from ORB find declining approval of the way TMay’s government is handling Brexit

Latest Brexit trackers from ORB find declining approval of the way TMay’s government is handling Brexit

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Approval numbers drop by 15 points since GE2017 65% think Brexit will give UK more control over immigration The numbers are broadly in line with what other pollsters have been finding. Last week YouGov found 55% saying they thought the process was going badly with 25% saying well. The country and her party is so split what Mrs. May is almost in a no-win situation. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

Corbyn’s the one that’s most out of line with his party on Brexit

Corbyn’s the one that’s most out of line with his party on Brexit

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YouGov Aug 1 2017 poll The contradiction can’t continue While all the focus has been on the leadership machinations within the Conservative Party Labour is getting a free ride at the moment. One things that Theresa May has got right is that her position is very much in line with the party support base as the the latest YouGov BREXIT tracker shows. Corbyn’s view on the biggest issue of all is not shared by his voters or, as recent polling…

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Leading constitutional expert and Cameron’s former tutor thinks a second referendum now likely

Leading constitutional expert and Cameron’s former tutor thinks a second referendum now likely

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Four reasons from Vernon Bogdanor for why a second EU referendum is now likely. Hard to disagree. pic.twitter.com/LQqNKfharq — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) August 3, 2017 Remember Farage called for a 2nd referendum when he thought Remain was winning. https://t.co/qwvpZp6xkG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 3, 2017

Chancellor Hammond may not be PM (yet) but he’s the one currently running the show & shaping Brexit

Chancellor Hammond may not be PM (yet) but he’s the one currently running the show & shaping Brexit

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He alone appears competent and in control Today’s Times front page is the latest reminder of the rise and rise of Chancellor Philip Hammond in the government suggesting that he’s positioning himself as the next party leader and PM. A good indication of Hammond’s new status is that the both the Mail and the Sun, tabloids that until 10pm on June 8th 2017 were widely regarded as politically influential, are making strong attacks. Trevor Kavanagh in the Sun calls him…

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Brace yourselves for the impending train wreck of the Brexit negotiations

Brace yourselves for the impending train wreck of the Brexit negotiations

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Alastair Meeks on the similarities with 1914 The biggest avoidable catastrophe of the twentieth century was the outbreak of the First World War.  A single act of terrorism emanating from a small pre-modern state was allowed by mishandling by several different nations to escalate into a war that devastated a continent.  Historians continue to argue to this day about the causes.  It is often observed that the Russian mobilisation plans entailed rigid planning.  The steps that the Russians took that…

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Mr. Corbyn is playing a dangerous game with the majority of LAB voters who want to remain

Mr. Corbyn is playing a dangerous game with the majority of LAB voters who want to remain

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YouGov He’s got away with it so far but that could end abruptly One of the extraordinary features about the current febrile political situation is that Corbyn is taking a totally different line on Brexit from the vast majority of Labour voters. His ambivalence survived the GE2017 campaign because, frankly, no one believed his party stood an earthly and it didn’t receive the critical attention Team TMay had to deal with. Now LAB is leading in the polls (2% up…

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CON members’ polling with Davis ahead, plots to get TMay to quit, and how the Great Repeal Bill could be scuppered

CON members’ polling with Davis ahead, plots to get TMay to quit, and how the Great Repeal Bill could be scuppered

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The main political stories this Sunday morning Exclusive: Tory grassroots figures call for Theresa May to consider quitting by Christmas https://t.co/2myHSMcoHT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2017 CON members polling: David Davis get most support in battle to succeed Theresa Mayhttps://t.co/nKPYfXgQkk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2017 LD and LAB plot to delay Great Repeal Bill 'could be the thing that does it for Theresa May' https://t.co/os5zgUgJu8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2017 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB…

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