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Category: BREXIT

Another day closer to March 29th 2019 – the way forward on Brexit remains unclear

Another day closer to March 29th 2019 – the way forward on Brexit remains unclear

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Puzzled by all the Brexit options floating around? Here's my summary of where we stand (thoughts / clarifications on this presentation welcome – aiming for a neutral presentation of all of the options) pic.twitter.com/IVfQIYonHi — David Henig ?? (@DavidHenigUK) October 16, 2018 DD’s former chief of staff @BrexitStewart accuses May of “duplicity and mendacity”, says she is “Nixonian in her modus operandi” and vows she will be taken out by Brexiteer MPs… “Her removal would be the start of a…

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Why I’m betting that that there is a greater than 35% chance that Brexit won’t happen next March 29th as planned

Why I’m betting that that there is a greater than 35% chance that Brexit won’t happen next March 29th as planned

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I think people are massively underestimating the impact of no deal with voters on a) the Tory brand b) the credibility of Brexit. Don’t underestimate the potential for many voters to shrug and say ‘it can’t be done so let’s not’. Not everyone of course but enough to shift votes. — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) October 14, 2018 If no deal becomes more likely the less chance of the date being met Another week starts with growing uncertainty over whether a…

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Will Theresa May be Tory leader at the 2019 Tory Party conference?

Will Theresa May be Tory leader at the 2019 Tory Party conference?

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Why I’m betting on Theresa May to still be Tory leader at the 2019 Tory party conference. This Paddy Power market is essentially a bet on Mrs May getting a deal done and passed in the Commons. Iff she manages to achieve those two things then I’d expect Mrs May and the Tories to get a boost in the polls so ditching her straight away might not be possible. With Boris Johnson confirming once again he is the modern day…

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It looks as though TMay won’t be the only main party leader facing a Brexit rebellion. Corbyn’s has one as well

It looks as though TMay won’t be the only main party leader facing a Brexit rebellion. Corbyn’s has one as well

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This could be big. Indy reporting that some LAB MPs reveal they are ready to rescue TMay's Brexit deal in Commons vote. https://t.co/KYC0d9fiks — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 13, 2018 The Indy report names some LAB MPs: “Labour MPs told The Independent that at least 15 could rebel against Mr Corbyn and back the government, which could be enough to tip the balance in the Commons in favour of the deal. Hammond claims Brexit deal would deliver ‘economic bonus’ One…

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The danger of making resignation threats is this that you look silly if you don’t follow through

The danger of making resignation threats is this that you look silly if you don’t follow through

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Exclusive: Theresa May given the weekend to change her backstop plan or face losing Andrea Leadsom, Esther McVey and Peddy Mordaunt from Cabinet "It is the litmus test for the taking back control… this is the killer moment" https://t.co/G7ky1oFmeV — Adam Payne (@adampayne26) October 12, 2018 Apparently they are saying that they’ll wait until Monday before deciding whether to quit, The backstop is said to be the “crunch point”. They want an explicit end date — and nothing less. As…

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The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either

The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either

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Well, it would certainly encourage a lot of Labour MPs to support her — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) October 11, 2018 With TMay seemingly in a total mess trying to maintain support for her Brexit plans while now being opposed by the Brextremists and the DUP lots of speculative scenarios are being played out. James Forsyth in an interesting Speccie post linked to above raises one one scenario with the risk of PM Corbyn being just about the final argument that…

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