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Category: BREXIT

The detail of the YouGov “LAB would slip to 3rd place behind the LDs ” poll

The detail of the YouGov “LAB would slip to 3rd place behind the LDs ” poll

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YouGov/People’s Vote At the weekend when this came out I was a bit nervous about circulating details without having seen the full form of the question that was asked and the breakdown of the data. Well this is now available and above we see a snapshot of the main question and responses. I think the wording of the two options is fine but I am quite surprised by the change it brought to voting intentions. What must be worrying to…

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The magnificent resilience of TMay ploughing on relentlessly against all the odds

The magnificent resilience of TMay ploughing on relentlessly against all the odds

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And ordinary voters are beginning to give her credit The week before Christmas and the PM looks set to have another uphill task once again this afternoon facing yet again a marathon grilling by MPs after she reports on last week’s abortive mission to Brussels. Her position is very straightforward. The referendum outcome must be honoured but she has been determined to do it in a manner that causes the minimum of damage to the economy. The deal that she…

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The gilded cage. How the DUP are using the new rules of the game to trap the Conservatives

The gilded cage. How the DUP are using the new rules of the game to trap the Conservatives

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Board games are always a good source of arguments. There seem to be as many views on how to play Monopoly as families. Some place all fines in the centre, to be collected by anyone who lands on Free Parking. Some don’t allow rents to be collected in Jail. Views differ on what is to be done with the properties of bankrupt players. It is important to establish the rules in advance if you want to avoid unseemly rows. Parliamentary…

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Theresa May’s next move

Theresa May’s next move

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  Theresa May’s great political skill, the driving force behind her career, has been the ability to keep her head down. The virtue of ducking out of the firing line is an important one in British politics. When promotion often comes through dead man’s shoes there is a delicate art to making sure others get hit by the flak, of walking through the food fight and coming out only mildly custard-stained. When the other leading figures in your party destroy…

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Tonight’ big Brexit polling news – LAB could slip to third place if it helped CON pass Brexit

Tonight’ big Brexit polling news – LAB could slip to third place if it helped CON pass Brexit

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New YouGov poll finds that LAB would drop to behind the LDs if the party helps the Tories to pass Brexit https://t.co/WcnsPVRxJi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2018 The S Times is reporting a YouGov survey of 5,000 voters, commissioned by the People’s Vote campaign, showing that support for LAB could fall from 36% to 22% if it helped the Tories to pass a compromise deal with Brussels like the one advocated by Theresa May. In these circumstances, the…

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No Deal or No government: the pincers close on May

No Deal or No government: the pincers close on May

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She can’t please all the (necessary) people all the time Not only is Theresa May a bloody difficult woman, she’s also a bloody difficult woman to shift. The ERG, with all their customary Keystone Cops planning, proved once again this week that when it comes to continuing her mission, the PM has a Terminator-like resilience to her and that it takes rather more than saying nasty things in posh voices to blow her off course. Their failure, however, was not…

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TMay’s new strategy – looking over the precipice as the financial markets collapse

TMay’s new strategy – looking over the precipice as the financial markets collapse

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The betting money moves against a second referendum While Mrs May is still in post and the EU are not going to budge on the terms of the deal then it looks as though the two big options remaining are a hard Brexit on March 29th or else a new referendum being announced beforehand. So far LAB has managed to get away almost scot-free without being really pressed to expand its ambivalent position on what it wants. Its main focus…

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Immigration, immigration, immigration – it hasn’t gone away you know.

Immigration, immigration, immigration – it hasn’t gone away you know.

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Immigration was one of the major issues in the referendum debate. The influx of several million Europeans coming to a country which had made no serious effort to accommodate its biggest ever increase in population changed the political landscape and enabled in no small way the decision to leave the EU. Since the vote the immigration issue has appeared to become less important. In part this is because immigration from Europe has reduced in the last two years. Improved wages at…

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