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Category: BREXIT

Boris and the illusion of unity

Boris and the illusion of unity

“To govern is to choose. To appear to be unable to choose is to appear to be unable to govern.” – Nigel Lawson There was a time, not long ago although it seems a world away now, when the electoral pitch of the Conservative Party strongly featured its willingness to make difficult decisions, to address reality rather than pretend problems away. It was a pitch which won respect and therefore won elections. So how is the party doing with the…

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Get ready for the Betrayals Ahead

Get ready for the Betrayals Ahead

As CON MPs prepare to vote a look at the bigger picture There is a political divide in Britain. No, not that one. But one between those seeing Brexit as an end in itself and those for whom it is a means to an end. The former seems to comprise most of the Tory party. The candidates for leader seem to agree. “We must do Brexit” they cry. In some cases, one suspects it is said with all the sincerity…

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It was exactly two years ago today that Brexit, if it happens, inexorably changed

It was exactly two years ago today that Brexit, if it happens, inexorably changed

Video: The moment the 2017 exit poll was announced When the history of Brexit is written I suspect the 8th of June 2017 will be seen as the most momentous day in Brexit history, even more so than June 23rd 2016. The moment Mrs May lost David Cameron’s majority might be the seen as the moment the Brexit mandate was superseded by those opposed to a No Deal Brexit, indeed Labour’s manifesto was explicit in that, nor did it commit…

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If the betting markets have this right Peterborough could have its third MP in two years all from different parties

If the betting markets have this right Peterborough could have its third MP in two years all from different parties

Brexit party leaflet Peterborough The Westminster by-election in Peterborough has become an intriguing contest with three and perhaps four possibilities of which party will be the winner. It was CON until June 2017 when it became a shock LAB gain with the winner losing her seat in May after the first successful use of the new recall procedure. Now LAB is batting to hold on against Farage’s new Brexit party which came out top in the Euros there on May…

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The three post Euros polls have had three different parties in the lead

The three post Euros polls have had three different parties in the lead

In the past couple of days there have been three Westminster voting intention polls from different firms each with a different party in the lead. This is unprecedented. Here's Deltapoll https://t.co/nsMGtujNI8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 2, 2019 Opinium has BXP ahead with the LDs in 4th. In its final Euros poll Opinium had the highest rating of any firm for BXP – 38% against the 31% that they actually got. It had the LDs on 15% 5 below the…

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Corbyn, May and the death of British compromise

Corbyn, May and the death of British compromise

We like to think of ourselves as a temperamentally moderate country, eager to split any difference, respect other viewpoints, find the middle ground. But the sobering lesson from the European election is that – on this issue, at least, we really are not. There are basically three options open to us. We can opt for a hard Brexit. That got 34.0% of the vote (Brexit+UKIP). We can opt to stay in the EU after all. That got 34.9% of the…

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YouGov LAB party members polling finds that just 45% backed the party last Thursday

YouGov LAB party members polling finds that just 45% backed the party last Thursday

Question for ?@UKLabour? – are you planning on expelling nearly half the membership? pic.twitter.com/I3z6ZOpF59 — Marcus A. Roberts (@marcusaroberts) May 30, 2019 Putting Alastair Campbell into context I find the above polling of LAB ,members really quite remarkable and shows the huge difficulty the leadership has pursuing its Brexit agenda which is alien to a large part of the membership base. That in a major election fewer than half the membership voted for the party says an enormous amount about…

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Let’s put an end to this rubbish thinking about LAB being vulnerable in its Leave Westminster seats

Let’s put an end to this rubbish thinking about LAB being vulnerable in its Leave Westminster seats

“There is some chatter in the Labour groups about the party adopting a radical Revoke and Reform policy at a September General Election. Not the usual suspects, this comes from Corbyn supporters. In which case Labour better prepare for annihilation by the Brexit Party in its Leave seats in the North and Midlands and Wales even if they hold onto London and other big cities and university towns” The majority of its GE2017 gains from CON were in seats that…

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