On the eve of the big court case some of the main brexit betting markets
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The Bad Boys Of Brexit. A review
The “Bad Boys Of Brexit” relates the adventures of Nigel Farage, Aaron Banks and Andy Wigmore and the Leave.eu campaign from July 2015 to the referendum and beyond, with a later addendum taking the story up to the May election announcement . It’s told in diary format as written by Aaron Banks, one of the leaders of Leave.eu. The blurb tells us that “every Remainer should steel themselves to read it, because the mindset that it captures…is driving change on…
The Courts should be an emergency backstop to parliament, not an active player nor a spectator
The Supreme Court has the chance to rebalance the relationship between the Courts and politics The Brexit process might have inhibited growth, deterred foreign investment, broken political parties and bitterly divided politics, generated political violence and protest not seen for decades and placed a perhaps irredeemable strain on the Union but it has at least help clarify some important points of constitutional law and for that we should be grateful. The next of these points will be determined when the…
Fewer than half of Leave voters would consider a No Deal Brexit a success
Would Brits see a no-deal Brexit as a success or a failure? A failure: 48%A success: 24%Neither: 16%https://t.co/s0S7LwaCCm pic.twitter.com/nuyJshWMl7 — YouGov (@YouGov) September 10, 2019 Leavers have played the expectations game over a deal very badly One of my assumptions has been that after a period of sustained No Deal support for No Deal and Brexit would crater like a failed NASA mission to Mars and this poll seems show happiness for a No Deal Brexit starts from a lowish…
The Remainers of the Day. Why are pollsters consistently finding more Remainers than you would expect?
I don’t take opinion polls very seriously and nor should you. For all that, they tell us something and some of the time we have no better clue as to what is going on than what they tell us. Right now, they seem to be telling us something rather interesting. For many months, pollsters have consistently found appreciably more respondents in their sample who said they voted Remain in 2016 than said they voted Leave. Since Leave won 52:48, this…
Jo Johnson’s resignation will only reinforce the doubts that Boris Johnson is only interested in himself and not the national interest
Jo Johnson was a remainer who resigned from Theresa May’s Government in Nov 2018 saying no deal would “inflict untold damage” on the country. He and his brother clearly disagree. But to accuse him of betraying national interest on first day of his “election campaign” is ? ? — Tamara Cohen (@tamcohen) September 5, 2019 In a move more reminiscent of Game of Thrones meets the Milibands Jo Johnson’s resignation as both a minister and an MP has the potential…
The Elevator Pitch
It’s all frightfully exciting, isn’t it?! Parliament being prorogued. People demonstrating against coups. Cabinet Ministers, the PM even, having to confirm that they will obey the law. Discussions about obscure precedents from the reign of Queen Anne about whether or not the Queen has to assent to legislation. Government defeats. The loss of its majority to zero as the PM was speaking, the later fall into a minority administration. Long-standing senior MPs being expelled from their party, some by text…
Boris Johnson Invites Himself to the Battle of Ipsus
After Alexander the Great died, his actual successors were a newborn baby and a half-brother who suffered learning difficulties. Unsurprisingly, his cadre of incredibly capable generals took real power and soon fell out, leading to the warring era of the Diadochi (Successors). Excepting Perdiccas, who reigned as regent for the few years immediately after Alexander’s death, Antigonus Monopthalmus came closest to uniting the vast realm that the Macedonians had conquered. He was pre-eminent amongst the Diadochi, with as much power…