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Category: BREXIT

Which party REMAIN and LEAVE voters now say they will vote for at the next general election

Which party REMAIN and LEAVE voters now say they will vote for at the next general election

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One of the irritating things about current polling is that not all firms are providing a breakdown based on referendum vote. This seems odd given that what people did on June 23rd says more about them politically than just about anything else. One pollster that does so in every survey is YouGov and the splits in the chart above are based on its latest poll. My plan is to track these numbers on a regular basis. Currently amongst REMAIN voters…

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A Richmond Park by election polling boost for the LDs from Ipsos MORI: up 4% to 14%

A Richmond Park by election polling boost for the LDs from Ipsos MORI: up 4% to 14%

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From today’s Ipsos MORI phone poll for the Standard Con 40 (-2) Lab 29 (-4) LD 14 (+4) UKIP 9 (+2 GRN 3 (nc) Yellows getting biggest support in Southern England .@IpsosMORI regional splits LDsNorth 12%Midlands 11%South 18% London 13%Scotland 11%No separate figure for SW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2016 TMay heading for cross-over perhaps in her satisfaction ratings TMay net @IpsosMORI satisfaction levels declining. How long before she's showing a negative? pic.twitter.com/aJutaW1cCj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December…

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Theresa May now joint 2nd favourite as next party leader to go

Theresa May now joint 2nd favourite as next party leader to go

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Nuttal & Farron prices move out William Hill next party leader out betting with changes since Sunday 2/1 Corbyn 11/4 (5/2) Nuttall 11/4 (7/2) May 6/1 Sturgeon 7/1 (6/1) Farron There’s been quite a bit if activity on the William Hill first party leader out market with Paul Nuttlall’s price moving out and Theresa May’s moving in. The betting sentiment suggests that the PM might not be as secure as things appear. Certainly there’s been a fair bit of more…

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Never gonna give EU up. The latest Brexit legal challenge, this time to keep Le Royaume-Uni within the single market

Never gonna give EU up. The latest Brexit legal challenge, this time to keep Le Royaume-Uni within the single market

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Picture: Protester outisde the Supreme Court whilst the Article 50 appeal was being heard We’ve known each other for so long but it’s time to say goodbye to UK membership of the single market. Overnight it was reported Theresa May is facing a fresh legal challenge to her Brexit plans as campaigners prepare to petition the High Court for Britain to stay in the single market.  The claimants, including one Remain and one Leave voter, are seeking a judicial review…

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Labour’s Migration dilemma

Labour’s Migration dilemma

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Don Brind looks at the challenges Diane Abbott, the Shadow Home Secretary is always worth listening to these days, not necessarily because of the quality of her analysis, but because she tells us what her leader thinks. So when she warns against a move to the right on immigration so that Labour becomes “Ukip-lite” she is undoubtedly reflecting the view of Jeremy Corbyn. In her interview with Guardian political editors Anushka Asthana and Heather Stewart  the Shadow Home secretary undoubtedly reflects…

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The Blair Impede Brexit Project: Ladbrokes makes it odds-on that UK will still be “fully paid-up” member of the EU on Jan 1 2020

The Blair Impede Brexit Project: Ladbrokes makes it odds-on that UK will still be “fully paid-up” member of the EU on Jan 1 2020

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@MSmithsonPB pic.twitter.com/DBtOt3sQHk — Iain Ronayne (@IFR65) November 21, 2016 THE UK is now odds-on to still be a full member of the EU on the 1st of January 2020, according to Ladbrokes. Tony Blair’s claim that Brexit can be stopped has moved the market, making it now just 10/11 Britain remain as full members, with 3/1 offered on another vote taking place before the same date. As a result Blair is also now at the centre of a long-odds gamble…

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EX-CON PM John Major jumps into the BREXIT debate saying there’s a credible case for a second referendum

EX-CON PM John Major jumps into the BREXIT debate saying there’s a credible case for a second referendum

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Brexit: Sir John Major says 'perfectly credible' case for second referendum https://t.co/TsTpGa4JYU — Guardian politics (@GdnPolitics) November 25, 2016 And he warns against the “tyranny of the majority” The big BREXIT development overnight has been a speech by the former Tory leader and PM, Sir John Major, which seems to run directly against that which Theresa May is seeking to achieve. According to a Press Association report he told a private dinner “that the 48% of people who voted to…

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Hammond moves up the betting as next CON leader/PM

Hammond moves up the betting as next CON leader/PM

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Latest next PM betting The new Chancellor gets a good press this morning following his first set piece appearance since getting the job in July. He’s someone who has been up there within the party a long time but has never sought to hog the limelight. After GE2010 he should have become number 2 to Osborne at the Treasury but the demands of the coalition meant that had to go to a Lib Dem. Since then he’s held senior cabinet…

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