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Category: BREXIT

How each of the constituencies voted at the Referendum

How each of the constituencies voted at the Referendum

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The projections from Prof Chris Hanretty of Royal Holloway One thing’s for sure in the coming battle is how individual seats voted in the referendum on June 23rd 2016. Above is the standard reference on this projected by the leading political scientist, Prof Chris Hanretty of Royal Holloway. Most seats are just projections but in a number there are real results coming from councils which issued data down to ward level. I have the spreadsheet set up so that they…

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New polling finds fewer than 1 in 3 think that Brexit will happen by Jan 31st 2020

New polling finds fewer than 1 in 3 think that Brexit will happen by Jan 31st 2020

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Are we going to see almost perpetual extensions? The latest extension of the Article 50 process is the third time this has happened and, as the latest YouGov polling shows, just 23% believe that we will be out on by the end of January next year. It is not as though an extension is unusual. By my counting this is the third time the process has been put back and, who knows, we could see the same happen again. Of…

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By two to one the voters think the Brexit referendum should not have been held

By two to one the voters think the Brexit referendum should not have been held

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Fascinating finding from @OpiniumResearch 'Brexit referendum should never have been called, say majority of voters'https://t.co/Tgrgm69kyA — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 26, 2019 Hindsight is a wonderful thing Today’s Observer is reporting that Twice as many people now think it would have been better never to have held a referendum on Brexit than believe it was a good idea, according to the latest Opinium poll for the Observer. Asked to consider the difficulties the government has had in reaching an agreement, 57% of UK adults…

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The LDs propose plan that would give Johnson a December election

The LDs propose plan that would give Johnson a December election

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? NEW: A new plan tonight to offer Boris Johnson the pre-Christmas election he craves. ? The Lib Dems have drawn up a bill that would allow Johnson to secure a December election with a simple majority of MPs. Crucially, the SNP will back it. THREAD. 1/6 pic.twitter.com/gCWe9pwfPF — Michael Savage (@michaelsavage) October 26, 2019 Their plan would be that the bill, if adopted by Johnson, could be taken through parliament on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. Parliament dissolves next Monday. Election…

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The loss of DUP support means Johnson needs to make 10 more gains from LAB to stay at Number 10

The loss of DUP support means Johnson needs to make 10 more gains from LAB to stay at Number 10

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The most significant, though, hardly surprising development during Saturday’s special Brexit debate was that the DUP with its ten MPs has totally switched to opposing the government. It is hard to see how that can be changed certainly by the current PM. This was not a mistake that TMay would have made. The sense of betrayal coming from hardline unionist communities in Northern Ireland heightens the fact that Johnson’s readiness to ignore and ditch the key element of unionism about…

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A 3% return in a little over two months?

A 3% return in a little over two months?

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This market from Paddy Power seems to me a guaranteed way to get a 3% return in a little over two months. Like a 2019 general election I think we’re running out of time to hold one because the logistical challenges of holding an election in the run up to Christmas are insurmountable. To hold a 2019 referendum will require primary legislation and the electoral commission guidelines are that it will around twenty-one weeks from announcing a referendum to actually…

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