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Category: Boundary Reviews

As the new boundaries are published Clegg says there will be NO party funding deal and he will be voting against

As the new boundaries are published Clegg says there will be NO party funding deal and he will be voting against

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Clegg rules out any “deal on the boundaries” and states that he will be voting against. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 16, 2012 The Lib Dem leader, Nick Clegg, has just faced the commons for the first time since his announcement in August that his party will not be voting for the boundary changes when they come to the house in late 2014. He made clear that the state funding for parties in exchange for the boundaries, as being…

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There is no hope of a deal on the Tory boundary bonus in exchange for state funding of parties

There is no hope of a deal on the Tory boundary bonus in exchange for state funding of parties

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Tomorrow’s proposals will not be implemented If the Tory back-bench rebellion on Lords reform had not happened in July then tomorrow would have been a big day for election watchers because of the publication of the revised electoral map for England. Rallings & Thrasher, Anthony Wells and others would have been going through the refined proposals to produce new projections of the impact of the plan. No doubt work will still be done but without the same urgency or expectation…

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Grant Shapps bows to the inevitable on the boundaries

Grant Shapps bows to the inevitable on the boundaries

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ConservativeHome Candidates will be selected on the old electoral map When Nick Clegg made his statement in the middle of the Olympics that his party would be voting against the Boundary Commission proposals when they come to the commons in October 2012 it created something of a dilemma for the Tories. Should they start the process of selecting candidates on the existing boundaries or wait in hope that the news ones would be approved? This was the more so when…

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Dave has got a problem with Tory boundary rebels as well

Dave has got a problem with Tory boundary rebels as well

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Up to 25 *Tories* would vote against boundary review – six of the eight in Wales for example. Cameron will ditch this Autumn, I think — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) August 16, 2012 The above Tweet from Sam Coates of the Times is the first attempt that I can recall to calculate how many Tory rebels there’d be on the boundaries if it ever got to a vote. The Coates projection of 25 would be enough to kill the plan…

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Will Tory rebels oppose ANYTHING that Dave offers the LDs?

Will Tory rebels oppose ANYTHING that Dave offers the LDs?

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Is the struggle to retain the 20 seat boundary bonus doomed? It’s being reported by the Telegraph’s Ben Brogan that Cameron is working on a plan to offer the LDs a deal on state funding party funding as a new quid pro quo for getting the boundary changes through. Brogan writes: “…over the next year or so Mr Clegg will find a way to back the boundary review when it comes up for a vote in the Commons. In exchange,…

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Should the Tories select PPCs on the new boundaries or old?

Should the Tories select PPCs on the new boundaries or old?

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Will there be a penalty for delaying the process? One consequential development from Clegg’s statement on the boundaries is that his party and Labour are now both choosing candidates based on the 2010 election electoral map. It’s generally regarded as good campaigning practice to get your choice made early so that the Prospective Parliamentary Candidate can build up a presence in the area. This is particularly important in the marginals where the odd few hundred votes can be decisive. Labour…

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The bias to Labour remains even with new boundaries

The bias to Labour remains even with new boundaries

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Quite simply the red team’s vote is distributed more efficiently There’s a widespread assumption amongst many Tories that the new boundaries are a universal palliative which solve all the apparent bias to Labour within the system. This is wrong. The biggest reason why Labour can secure a majority with a much smaller vote share than the Tories is that the party’s support in general elections is distributed more efficiently. No boundary review can deal with that. Just look at the…

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The impact of reverting to the 2010 electoral map

The impact of reverting to the 2010 electoral map

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Election outcome < New boundaries Old boundaries LAB MAJORITY LAB LEAD 4.3% LAB LEAD 3% LAB MOST SEATS CON LEAD below 2.2% CON LEAD below 4% CON MOST SEATS CON LEAD above 2.2% CON LEAD 4% CON MAJORITY CON LEAD above 7.4% CON LEAD 11% How the Lords reform rebellion has cost the Tories Following yesterday’s statement from Nick Clegg on the abandonment of Lords reform the working assumption must now be that the next general election will be fought...

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