Should I cash out my Sunak 2023 exit bet
Mike Smithson
New Ipsos poll sees sharp decline in Sunak’s ratings
The Standard is reporting: Rishi Sunak’s popularity is sinking as the Government continues to be hit by controversies in the middle of the cost-of-living crisis and wave of strikes, a new poll revealed on Monday. The Ipsos survey for the Standard found that 32 per cent of adults believe he has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, down ten points from November, with 43 per cent disagreeing, up nine points.He has fallen behind Sir Keir Starmer, on 36 per cent for having PM qualities, and…
The time’s come for LAB leader punters to move on from Burnham?
The Tweet from ex-PBer Alastair Meeks last night certainly chimed with me because it has become a betting nonsense that Andy Burnham remains the favourite to succeed Starmer. Burnham, it might be remembered, has failed twice before to become leader and is the mayor of Greater Manchester. The only way he could be nominated for the Labour leadership is if he is an MPs which he isn’t. Those betting on him for the leader completely ignore the huge transformation that…
The front pages after Sunak shows his resolve
I think Number 10 will be happy
The Intermarium
Introduction The Intermarium is an area between the Baltic, Adriatic and Black Seas. It is not a country in the same way that Scandinavia, North America, Europe and Iberia aren’t. It contains many peoples with common concerns by virtue of its geography. Over time those peoples formed tribes, nations, alliances, commonwealths, pacts and finally sovereign states, but you can still see the ghosts in modern borders. It has been patronised as Eastern Europe, fit only for plumbers, but it has…
Snog, marry, or avoid? Just avoid them all?
It bodes ill for Sunak that Tory MPs are alreadfy discussing his successor. Today’s Sunday Times are reporting that Many [Tory] MPs expect to lose [the next general election], and people already wonder who they would support in the next leadership contest. Kemi Badenoch, the trade secretary, is the early favourite but allies say Jacob Rees-Mogg held a dinner before Christmas on the future of the right and is seriously contemplating running. The rump of Trussites are aligning behind Simon…
Trump back as WH2024 GOP nominee betting favourite
Although it is more than 20 months away one of the biggest betting markets at the moment is on who will be the nominees for the 2024 White House race. It will be recalled that in November at the time of the Midterms Trump sought to take the attention of what was going on elsewhere by announcing that he would be standing again. Clearly he has a significant supporter base but is that base large enough to first win his…
The polls continue to be terrible for the Tories
As PB regulars will know we tend not to focus on individual voting polls on PB but to take a batch every three or 4 weeks and see if we can see the trend or some indication that things might change. Apart from two surveys that had LAB leads in the mid-teens all the other polls in January have been very bad for Sunak party and he has yet to make an impression that sees the prospect of some change….