Hitting rock bottom The Conservative party is the oldest and most successful party in UK history. The 2024 election was the worst ever in its long history (the previous worst in 1906, they still held on to 156 seats) In theory, the Conservatives are still well placed as there are 227 seats, where the required swing is less than 10%. However, it’s not proving remotely easy so far. With Labour seeing their popularity dwindle, the Conservatives ought to be the…
This is not a good look for the SNP but come next May it won’t make much difference at the ballot box. What I find utterly perplexing is that this incident was caused by a debate about out of control seagulls. TSE
Last September I tipped Ed Miliband to succeed Sir Keir Starmer at 100/1, as per John Rentoul’s tweets I am feeling rather content. You can back Ed Miliband as next PM at 21s on Betfair and 11.5s as next Labour leader, you can get 25/1 and 50/1 respectively at Ladbrokes, I think both those prices at Ladbrokes represent an excellent opportunity for profit. In March of this year I pointed out that Ed Miliband was impressing Labour members which should…
This really is an inauspicious start. Words like organise, brewery, and micturate come to mind. I suspect the lawyers will be getting rich over this fiasco, if you have signed up for this contact your bank/financial institution. UPDATE – Sultana’s response makes the situation even more murky. TSE
Strictly speaking Sir Ed Davey is the country’s least unpopular party GB wide leader. Longstanding readers know why Mike Smithson and myself prefer the net ratings simply because it indicates the potential for tactical voting. 71% of the public have an unfavourable rating of Starmer, which is much higher than Nigel Farage which means Labour might not be able to attract tactical votes if Starmer remains as leader at the election. TSE
I agree with the public, it would give us a fascinating by-election. The by-election could see any of four parties winning the by-election which would give us a fascinating betting opportunity. TSE
I am struggling to type this, Labour are on 14% (fourteen percent) in next year’s Senedd election, the most surprising thing about this polling is that it isn’t much of a surprise given how badly Starmer and his government are doing. Looking at the betting market from Ladbrokes I am not sure there’s much value other than backing Plaid Cymru. A market I would like to see is the make up of the next Welsh government after the election, I…
We’ve been here before, a leadership election with a clear favourite going into conference season then we had the speech of a lifetime which upended the leadership contest, I am of course referring to the 2005 Tory leadership election where David Cameron went from rank outsider to the longest serving Tory leader this millennium. The Labour party conference starts a week on Sunday so there’s that opportunity for Bridget Phillipson, I think there might be some value in backing her…