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Category: America

The efforts to undermine Obamacare – the soft underbelly of Trump’s electoral position

The efforts to undermine Obamacare – the soft underbelly of Trump’s electoral position

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Taking away what’s become an entitlement is politically dangerous On the first anniversary of the Senate defeat of Trump’s health care repeal,and just three months before the crucial midterm elections, a new Public Policy Polling survey finds a majority of voters want to support candidates for Congress who oppose repealing the Affordable Care Act. This was brought in under Obama in 2010 and has provided health provision for millions of Americans. By 56% to 40% those sampled said they’d support…

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My 270/1 shot for the White House indicates that he might run

My 270/1 shot for the White House indicates that he might run

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Watch out for John Hickenlooper – Governor of Colorado Back in early April I reported that I’d backed Governor John Hickenlooper for the presidency at odds of 270/1 on Betfair. One of the things about super long-shots is that you generally don’t know when you place your bet whether your man/woman will actually make a bid. So today’s strong indication that he is considering putting his hat into the ring is a big step forward. I’d first noticed Hickenlooper a…

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Republican voters remain solidly behind Trump in the first post-Helsinki polls

Republican voters remain solidly behind Trump in the first post-Helsinki polls

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Those polled responded along strong partisan lines Anybody expecting that President Trump’s widely criticised approach at the Helsinki summit with Putin would hurt him amongst his base is going to be disappointed. The first polls are now out and they show the same picture – very solid support from Republican Party voters for the Presidents handling of Russian leader, Putin Axios/SurveyMonkey has 79% of Republicans approved of Trump’s handling. This compares with 91% of Democrats and 62% of independents who…

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At a 70%+ chance the betting markets are surely over-rating Trump’s chances of being the WH2020 GOP nominee

At a 70%+ chance the betting markets are surely over-rating Trump’s chances of being the WH2020 GOP nominee

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The best post-Helsinki bets? Judging by the reaction in the US overnight Donald Trump’s meeting with Vladimir Putin has gone down like a like a bowl of cold sick most strikingly within his own party. He’s been damaged. There’s no point in me repeating here the wide coverage that we’ve seen but question for punters, surely, is what are the best Trump bets. There are, as we know, many markets. Will he complete a full first term? (Betfair 74%) What…

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Trump appearing deferential to Putin isn’t going to help him win WH2020

Trump appearing deferential to Putin isn’t going to help him win WH2020

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Given the initial US media reaction, even that from Fox News, the President isn’t getting good coverage for his historic meeting with Putin. This was from former Republican cabdidate and current Senator, John McCain: “Today’s press conference in Helsinki was one of the most disgraceful performances by an American president in memory. The damage inflicted by President Trump’s naiveté, egotism, false equivalence, and sympathy for autocrats is difficult to calculate. But it is clear that the summit in Helsinki was…

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If Betfair punters are right the Republicans are set to hold onto the House in the November midterms

If Betfair punters are right the Republicans are set to hold onto the House in the November midterms

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Betdata.IO This would be a big victory for Trump While we are all focused on the Tories and Brexit in the UK the biggest political betting market at the moment continues to be the above one on the US midterm elections and, particularly, whether the Republicans can hold on to the House. The current RCP polling average has the Democrats 6.4% ahead but that’s not thought to be big enough to see change. In many states the congressional district boundaries…

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Trump’s big deal: the Supreme Court

Trump’s big deal: the Supreme Court

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Wikimedia Commons November permitting, buying off evangelicals with nominations could change the future of America Donald Trump regards himself as the great deal-maker. As president, there’s not an awful lot of evidence to support his contention but then he’s never much been one for being overly worried about the evidence. Nearly a year and a half into his term, there’s no wall, nor any realistic prospect of one, his immigration reforms have resulted in concentration camps for children separated from…

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June 2018 Local By-Election Summary

June 2018 Local By-Election Summary

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June 2018 Monthly Summary Conservatives 7,657 votes (40.22% -0.91% on last time) winning 8 seats (-2 seats on last time) Labour 4,716 votes (24.77% +5.10% on last time) winning 3 seats (+1 seat on last time) Liberal Democrats 2,998 votes (15.75% +7.59% on last time) winning 4 seats (+3 seats on last time) United Kingdom Independence Party 1,291 votes (6.78% -5.69% on last time) winning 0 seats (-2 seats on last time) Local Independents 1,089 votes (5.72% +0.98% on last…

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