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By 55% to 37% women say Kavanagh’s Supreme Court nomination should NOT be confirmed

By 55% to 37% women say Kavanagh’s Supreme Court nomination should NOT be confirmed

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Men support it by 49% to 40% A Quinnipiac poll just published finds finds that 48% of US voters think the U.S. Senate should reject Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, with 42% saying he should be confirmed. Those headline figures overshadow a huge gender divide with women overwhelmingly opposed and men giving Trump’s move some support. At the moment this has all been delayed by the move last Friday to defer things for a week to…

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The Senate Kavanaugh hearing begins taking evidence from the woman who says she was sexually attacked by Trump’s nominee

The Senate Kavanaugh hearing begins taking evidence from the woman who says she was sexually attacked by Trump’s nominee

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BBC News Its odds-on that he’ll be confirmed All eyes in the US are on the Senate Justice committee which is taking evidence from a woman who says she was sexually assaulted by Trump’s nominee for the Supreme Court vacancy, Brett Kavanaugh. Christine Blasey Ford told the committee that Kavanaugh’s attack on her 38 years ago had left her “afraid and ashamed”. Because of the power of the Supreme Court and that its members serve for life the stakes couldn’t…

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It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about

It’s the WH2016 voter segments that said they were backing Hillary but abstained that the GOP should worry about

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We all recall how in much of key state polling at WH2016 that Clinton was overstated thus giving us a very false impression of what was going to happen. Much of this was not down to switching but to ostensible Clinton backers not bothering to turnout. Their problem was the candidate. One of the insights I got from this excellent analysis of November’s US Midterm elections by NBC’s, Chris Matthews, is what this group of voters will do in the…

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Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, faces a second accuser

Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, faces a second accuser

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By far the biggest political battle in US politics at the moment is the effort by the Republicans to ensure that Trump’s nominee for the Supreme Court vacancy, Brett Kavanaugh, gets approved. Because of the power of the court and the fact that members are appointed for life this has the potential of having an impact in the US that could last decades. The Democrats are doing everything to try to stall the process while the White House is pushing…

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The biggest US midterms battle: Beto O’Rourke’s Texas effort to unseat Ted Cruz

The biggest US midterms battle: Beto O’Rourke’s Texas effort to unseat Ted Cruz

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The Senate race that could deprive the Republicans of their majority Of all the elections that are taking place across the US in November the one that’s attracting the most attention is the effort by Beto O’Rourke to take the Texas Senate seat held by Ted Cruz. Overnight there was the first TC debate as featured in the video clip above. What looked like a certain hold by the Republican is now being rated as a toss-up following an energetic…

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Ashcroft US poll finds 53% saying there are grounds to believe that Trump committed crimes that would warrant impeachment

Ashcroft US poll finds 53% saying there are grounds to believe that Trump committed crimes that would warrant impeachment

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Nearly a half believe Trump campaign colluded with Russia & he was aware A 6k sample poll of US voters has just been published by Lord Ashcroft and sets the scene for the important midterm elections that take place in the first week in November. Currently the Democratic party is enjoying reasonable leads in generic Congressional polls and the betting is on the party re-taking control of the House. But a much tighter battle is taking place for control of…

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My 66/1 longshot for WH2020 now favourite for the Democratic nomination and 2nd favourite for the Presidency

My 66/1 longshot for WH2020 now favourite for the Democratic nomination and 2nd favourite for the Presidency

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While I was on holiday I was grateful that TSE Tweeted my post from January 18th 2017, two days before Trump was inaugurated, on my long-shot bet for WH2020 – Senator Kamala Harris of California. On Betfair Harris is currently a 16% chance for the nomination and 10% to become next president. In November 2016 she became the second black woman and first Indian American elected to serve in the Senate. She’s a former Attorney-General for California and is the…

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Richard Nabavi on the US Senate elections

Richard Nabavi on the US Senate elections

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On the 6th November, 33 of the 100 seats in the US Senate come up for election. The Democrats currently hold 47 seats and two independents caucus with them, so they need a net gain of two for them to get control1. Unfortunately for the Democrats, the starting position is rather difficult; of the 35 seats up for election, only 9 are Republican-held, and of those 4 are solid and 3 are fairly safe. On the other side, of the…

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