Browsed by
Author: TSE

Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

Comments 0 Comment

Yesterday John Rentoul wrote a fascinating piece on the Dave and Nick relationship.   I am told that [David Cameron] has recently had a lot of “quite angry” meetings with Nick Clegg. Where once civil servants liked to compare the polite and mutually respectful dealings of the coalition leaders with the storms of Tony Blair and Gordon Brown’s dysfunctional “coalition”, insiders now say that there are similarities after all. I understand that one of Cameron and Clegg’s disputes was over…

Read More Read More

Angus Reid poll on Scotland

Angus Reid poll on Scotland

Comments 0 Comment

There’s a new poll out by Angus Reid for the Sunday Express on the Scottish Independence referendum, which sees an improvement for the Yes side   Note, the changes are from Angus Reid’s last poll on this topic, which was for The Mail on Sunday, the Sunday Express articles references the last poll conducted for the Sunday Express. The Mail on Sunday Poll details can be found here Other excerpts from the poll 28 per cent of people say they…

Read More Read More

Sunday Polling Roundup

Sunday Polling Roundup

Comments 0 Comment

There are three polls out. First up is the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times Tonight’s YouGov for the Sunday Times Lab 38 Con 32 UKIP 13 LD 10 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov/Sunday Times Miliband’s net rating is minus 48, his worst net rating this year (last week it minus 42) — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov Sunday Times net ratings among their own supporters Cameron plus 87 Clegg plus 36 Miliband plus 7…

Read More Read More

Independence Referendum turnout betting

Independence Referendum turnout betting

Comments 0 Comment

With a little over 389 days to go until Scottish voters decide whether to leave the Union or not. The table below shows the turnout in Scotland for a variety of elections and plebiscites, going back to 1974. Year Westminster election Referendum Holyrood election 1974 F 79.0 1974 O 74.8 1979 March 63.8 1979 May 76.8 1983 72.7 1987 75.1 1992 75.5 1997 May 71.3 1997 Sep 60.4 1999 59.1 2001 58.2 2003 49.4 2005 60.6 2007 52.1 2010 63.8…

Read More Read More

Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

Comments 0 Comment

New PB thread looking at betting on Lib Dem deposit losses at the 2015 GE. http://t.co/FR0XvQI0M3 pic.twitter.com/EEpQPAakBj — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 23, 2013   A couple of weeks ago, Mike wrote about the potential number of Lib Dem lost deposits in 2015 and how the total of lost LD deposits which, if local trends continue, could run into the hundreds. Now in 2010, the Liberal Democrats didn’t lose any deposits, whilst the the Conservatives lost just two deposits and Labour lost five…

Read More Read More

Henry G Manson – On the Lobbying Bill

Henry G Manson – On the Lobbying Bill

Comments 0 Comment

Henry G Manson on the lobbying bill. http://t.co/YGwgHKTdn3 Pic from http://t.co/Lghyxzdnvo pic.twitter.com/9OsvhyqtTG — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 23, 2013     This Big Brother Bill Belongs to Zimbabwe Not Britain Hasty legislation usually makes for the lousy legislation. But for lousy and cynical legislation, look no further than the government’s ‘Transparency of Lobbying, Non-party Campaigning and Trade Union Administration Bill’. It appears to be the latest sinister stunt from a Conservative Party looking to boost its chances in the run-up to the…

Read More Read More

Ipsos Mori Issues Index out

Ipsos Mori Issues Index out

Comments 0 Comment

The Augusut Ipsos-Mori issues index is out Public concern about the economy falls again – lowest in five years http://t.co/gnWVv2CrdI — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Concern about race/immigration has now increased to 38%; its highest level since May 2010 http://t.co/nIWAVtpsOf @EconBritain: — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Concern about the NHS now the highest it has been in 5 years http://t.co/ZnzXN0eyeG — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Just 7% of…

Read More Read More

History suggests the Tories will see their share of the vote decline in 2015

History suggests the Tories will see their share of the vote decline in 2015

Comments 0 Comment

In recent weeks there’s been a positivity about the Tories’ chances of winning outright in 2015, Michael Gove was reported to be convinced of that, and over at Betfair, the implied probability of a Tory majority has been increasing in recent weeks (though there has been an easing back from the recent high point) But looking at the table below, which shows the the change of the share of the vote at the election between the governing party and the…

Read More Read More