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Author: TSE

PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re going to be up, All Night Long, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, Hello,  why not delurk tonight, if you do delurk, I’m sure you’ll be Dancing on the Ceiling in excitement. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Labour set to lose out as young…

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By-election in Newark as Patrick Mercer resigns – Will Farage stand?

By-election in Newark as Patrick Mercer resigns – Will Farage stand?

New PB Thread on the Newark by-election http://t.co/4w5rDEVYsB pic.twitter.com/3lZWA51Yug — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) April 29, 2014 So we have a by-election in Newark. Earlier on today, when I speculated on whether a Newark by-election will be held on May 22nd, the same day as the locals and Euros, Mark Senior posted It is impossible for there to be a by election in Newark or anywhere else on May 22nd . section 14 of the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you like political betting, welcome to PB, Nobody Does It Better than PB. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not delurk tonight, no one will think You’re So Vain for delurking. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Ukip condemned by cross-party group for…

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Corporeal asks: Will the dog bark

Corporeal asks: Will the dog bark

Sex and politics is an explosive mix and one that has driven a lot of scandals in British history, from Parnell’s divorce through the Profumo affair, Jeremy Thorpe, and up to the present day scandals to not even scratch the surface. The most recent rumours (that I happily don’t know enough about to make any troublesome innocent faces) aren’t either as influential or as shocking (the Duchess of Argyll’s divorce case is inexplicably obscure now) as the most infamous historical…

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Betting on the number of Lib Dem MEPs

Betting on the number of Lib Dem MEPs

New PB Thread on how many MEPs the Lib Dems will have after the Euros http://t.co/ZHM2lWolM5 pic.twitter.com/hioJ9rUC0t — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) April 16, 2014 Ladbrokes have a market on how many MEPs the Lib Dems will have after the Euros. If we apply UNS to the ICM poll for the Guardian, they will end up with zero MEPs. Now this election is conducted in regions under the d’Hondt  method so a straight UNS calculation may not be apt. That said, the…

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Are we really only five months away from Dave’s resignation?

Are we really only five months away from Dave’s resignation?

Benedict Brogan wrote the other day David Cameron will resign if he loses Scotland. A Prime Minister who allows the break-up of the United Kingdom cannot suffer such a statement of no confidence and continue in office. That much is understood in Downing Street, where a gnawing doubt about the referendum gets worse by the day. The vote takes place in five months this Friday. Angst rather than panic describes the feeling apparent among those involved – but is it…

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Are we reaching a tipping point for Nick Clegg’s leadership?

Are we reaching a tipping point for Nick Clegg’s leadership?

Polling this parliament PB Thread Are we reaching a tipping point for Clegg's leadership http://t.co/pJaMJualu0 pic.twitter.com/7GYQQtHecA — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) April 15, 2014 One of the constants in this parliament is each May, in the local elections, the Lib Dems lose a significant number of councillors and the Lib Dems insouciance to it all. With other parties, it may have triggered speculation about the Leader/a Leadership election. The Lib Dems motto seems to be “Keep Calm and Carry On” I suspect this…

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Ipsos Mori April Political Monitor is out

Ipsos Mori April Political Monitor is out

Ipsos Mori sees a surge for UKIP pic.twitter.com/RrP1NjOHiC — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) April 10, 2014 Ipsos Mori leader ratings. pic.twitter.com/DDcAPC9wo7 — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) April 10, 2014 UKIP gets a surge from the debates whilst the the Lib Dems take a 4 point hit. Labour will be delighted that the budget bounce other pollsters have shown hasn’t happened here as their share of the vote is up 2 and their lead has doubled from 3 to 6. Nick…

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