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Should the Lib Dems treat the 2015 election as their Rorke’s Drift

Should the Lib Dems treat the 2015 election as their Rorke’s Drift

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The video above is what it must feel like to be Nick Clegg and the Lib Dems and what awaits them in next year’s General Election. James Kirkup in the Telegraph writes about the Lib Dems in Newark If Labour was passive in Newark, the Lib Dems were non-existent. Not a single Lib Dem MP campaigned there, and only a single peer. (Lord Newby). The cash-strapped central party gave no support to the local candidate. Finishing sixth and losing the…

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Newark: A massive win for CON, a setback for UKIP and terrible outcome for LAB and the LDs

Newark: A massive win for CON, a setback for UKIP and terrible outcome for LAB and the LDs

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Newark by election result thread. http://t.co/wVsmlNHbGx pic.twitter.com/Tv3QFOwdeQ — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) June 6, 2014 The Tories will be relieved at the hold and 8.9% down on their General Election score, and better than was expected but an impressive increase for UKIP but still no win, given the momentum they had from the Euros, and polling less in percentage terms than they did in the Eastleigh by-election, there will be an element of disappointment for the Purples. For the Lib…

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Final Survation poll on Newark

Final Survation poll on Newark

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  I’d like to emphasise that this is NOT an exit poll, the fieldwork took place on Monday and Tuesday, the sample size was 678. Since Survation’s poll last week, Conservatives have gained 6 points and UKIP have dropped 1 point, whilst Labour has dropped 5 points from 27 to 22, which reflects the sheer level of effort put in by the Tories, and Labour getting squeezed in a two horse race. It could also be evidence of tactical voting by…

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Christine Lagarde is 4-1 to be next President of the European Commission

Christine Lagarde is 4-1 to be next President of the European Commission

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The battle for Presidency of the EU is hotting up Yesterday it was reported by Reuters that: German Chancellor Angela Merkel has asked France whether it would be willing to put forward International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde as president of the European Commission, two French sources briefed on the exchanges said. They said Merkel, Europe’s most powerful political leader, made the inquiry in a private conversation with French President Francois Hollande after European Parliament elections characterised by widespread anti-EU…

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Why People Voted UKIP

Why People Voted UKIP

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As part of the poll conducted for UKIP donor Paul Sykes, ComRes asked How important was each of the following as a possible reason for your decision to vote UKIP at the European elections on Thursday? (Only those that replied 10/10 are shown – 10 being very important) Immigration, EU, Farage, Gay marriage? This chart shows the most important reasons people voted for UKIP at the Euros pic.twitter.com/hry389fUr4 — Tom Mludzinski (@tom_ComRes) June 2, 2014 As we can see, Tighter…

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Ipsos-Mori poll on Scottish Independence sees Yes cut No’s lead by 7 per cent

Ipsos-Mori poll on Scottish Independence sees Yes cut No’s lead by 7 per cent

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Ipsos-Mori have published their latest Indyref phone poll.  The fieldwork was after the Euros, from last Wednesday to this Sunday just gone, Ipsos-Mori say The latest poll for STV News shows that ‘Yes’ has gained ground since our last poll in February 2014. Among those certain to vote in the referendum 36% would vote Yes (up by 4 percentage points) while 54% would vote No (down by 3 points) and 10% are undecided (down by 1 point). Both sides will…

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Guest Slot: All publicity is good publicity? Maybe not when Ed Miliband is on TV

Guest Slot: All publicity is good publicity? Maybe not when Ed Miliband is on TV

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UK General Elections, we are told have become increasingly presidential. And how each party leader comes across, particularly on Television, is important. Ed Miliband has faced criticism for his style and communication skills – It’s probably fair to comment that he’s not a natural TV performer. But what if it’s slightly worse than that? What if his television appearances have, overall, a slight negative effect on Labour’s vote share in the polls? We should look at the evidence – What…

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This ComRes poll suggests UKIP will not be fading at the General Election

This ComRes poll suggests UKIP will not be fading at the General Election

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TELEGRAPH: UKIP vote no flash in the pan #tomorrowspaperstoday #BBCPapers pic.twitter.com/L1bqPLSZeD — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) May 30, 2014 ComRes have polled on behalf of UKIP donor Paul Sykes asking what UKIP voters in the Euros would do at the next General Election, the telegraph reports that 37 per cent of UKIP voters said that they were “certain” to support the party at the general election. Another 49 per cent said that they were “likely” to do so, while 14 per…

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