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Author: TSE

If you live in the marginals expect US style political attack ads appearing in your youtube feed

If you live in the marginals expect US style political attack ads appearing in your youtube feed

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Above is one of the most notorious US political attack ads.   Buzzfeed are reporting that [The] Tories Bring US-Style Political Attack Adverts To The UK In Time For The Election. Paid-for political advertising on TV and radio has always been banned in the UK. But there’s no such restriction on using YouTube, and BuzzFeed News understands the Conservatives are already spending the money. Whilst many have doubts the impact of the internet and social media on a general election campaign,…

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Will this win back the Con to UKIP switchers Dave needs to remain in Downing Street?

Will this win back the Con to UKIP switchers Dave needs to remain in Downing Street?

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Front page of the Sunday Times No 10 plots early Europe vote in 2016 pic.twitter.com/xSdmv9Z6cz — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 7, 2015 If the Tories are to remain in power after May 7th, they need to win back the near in one in five voters they’ve lost to UKIP since 2010. The Sunday Times are reporting (££) If the Tories keep the keys to Downing Street, one scenario being considered would see negotiations with EU governments continue this summer to…

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Night hawks is now open

Night hawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation On A Night Like This, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, this thread is Especially For You. If you’re thinking of Sticking To The Better The Devil You Know, you’ll find posting on PB is a cause for Celebration. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Memo to the…

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Could my 50/1 bet on Liz Kendall being the next Labour leader be a winner in the next few months?

Could my 50/1 bet on Liz Kendall being the next Labour leader be a winner in the next few months?

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Is the 20/1 Liz Kendall really the favourite as the next Labour Leader? http://t.co/vvwklygK5o pic.twitter.com/1Jzucb6IXp — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 1, 2015 This afternoon it was reported that Liz Kendall has emerged as a new challenger in a future Labour leadership battle, exacerbating Ed Miliband’s difficulties as party leader. Although some Labour figures have dismissed the rumours around the Leicester West MP as “the Blair Witch Project,” she is emerging as a favourite among Blairite MP. Interest in the shadow…

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Labour ruling out ‘negative’ election campaign posters indicates an underlying problem for Labour

Labour ruling out ‘negative’ election campaign posters indicates an underlying problem for Labour

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A Tory election poster that was released earlier on this week. pic.twitter.com/WRXQx8YvBQ — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 31, 2015 The Observer is reporting that Labour has scrapped all plans to run billboard posters of David Cameron during the general election campaign in what it says it is a deliberate attempt to avoid “negative personalised adverts” and raise the tone of debate. But the most interesting excerpt from the article is this bit The Observer understands that Labour’s effort to occupy…

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Is Lord Ashcroft the reason Nick Clegg is still leading the Lib Dems?

Is Lord Ashcroft the reason Nick Clegg is still leading the Lib Dems?

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Is @LordAshcroft the reason why Nick Clegg is still Lib Dem Leader? http://t.co/Ap8I4FAF2x pic.twitter.com/jw6panqrOX — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 29, 2015 If so, who will be more grateful? The Lib Dems or their opponents? One of most striking things of this parliament, is the Lib Dems’ unshakeable calm whilst the national opinion polls suggest in May the Lib Dems are headed for an epochal defeat that may end up being a modern Charge of the Light Brigade. We regularly get…

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Tories take the lead with Survation for the first time in this Parliament – UPDATE – ComRes phone poll has the Tories ahead for the first time since Sep 2011

Tories take the lead with Survation for the first time in this Parliament – UPDATE – ComRes phone poll has the Tories ahead for the first time since Sep 2011

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New @Survation online poll CON 31% (+1) LAB 30% (-3) UKIP 23% (+2) LD 7% (-3) GRE 3% (nc) SNP 5 (+2) — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 26, 2015 The @Survation poll is the first Survation to put Con ahead in this parliament — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 26, 2015 This is the first in a series of monthly polling for the Mirror between now and the election. UKIP will be delighted to be in the 20s, albeit…

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LAB jump 5 with Ipsos-MORI to re-take lead

LAB jump 5 with Ipsos-MORI to re-take lead

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Latest Ipsos-@IpsosMORI phone poll CON 33 (+1); LAB 34 (+5); LIB DEM 8 (-1); UKIP 11 (-2); GREEN 8 (-1) pic.twitter.com/mna4EOTzuH — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) January 15, 2015 @Ipsos-MORI ENGLAND ONLY vote shares CON 35 LAB 35 LD 8 GRN 8 UKIP 12 This represents a 5.7% CON to LAB swing in England since 2010 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 15, 2015 Last month TSE suggested Ipsos-Mori and ICM phone polls were outliers, in this instance what we’re seeing is a return what the polls have…

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