Browsed by
Author: TSE

So the debates are happening

So the debates are happening

Comments 0 Comment

The first event is four days away. Yesterday it was confirmed that we would have the debates and the format of said debates, they are as follows 26th March: Live question and answer programme on Channel 4 and Sky News featuring David Cameron and Ed Miliband, presented by Jeremy Paxman and Kay Burley 2nd April: Debate with the following party leaders David Cameron, Nick Clegg, Ed Miliband, Nigel Farage, Natalie Bennett, Nicola Sturgeon and Leanne Wood on ITV, moderated by Julie Etchingham…

Read More Read More

TNS poll has the Tories ahead whilst there appears to be progress on the debates

TNS poll has the Tories ahead whilst there appears to be progress on the debates

Comments 0 Comment

Latest @TNS_UK poll out Con 33 (+5) Lab 32 (-3) LD 7 (+1) UKIP 17 (-1) Greens 4 (-3) http://t.co/6OZfbbWkwQ — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 17, 2015 It appears as though TNS big move from to CON one might be partly due to methodology change. No mention now weighting back to 2014 Euros — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 17, 2015   Meanwhile on the debates, there has been progress or has there? Looks like there is progress on the leaders' debates http://t.co/qtAs0UpXJr pic.twitter.com/rX544YhirR —…

Read More Read More

Latest Lord Ashcroft marginals polling brings bad news for the Tories

Latest Lord Ashcroft marginals polling brings bad news for the Tories

Comments 0 Comment

The latest batch of Lord Ashcroft marginals polling is out, and will bring bring great cheer to Labour and much disappointment to the Tories, who would have hoped the national polling trends would feed into the marginals. Lord Ashcroft says My findings this time suggest the better national news for the Conservatives is not spread evenly across the battleground. In only one of the seats, Worcester, has a Labour lead turned into a Tory one. In Croydon Central, the Labour…

Read More Read More

Fewer voters have made up their mind on how to vote than in the past

Fewer voters have made up their mind on how to vote than in the past

Comments 0 Comment

Whilst most voters think the debates will influence the way the vote Ipsos Mori have done some polling which asks how many voters have made up their mind on how to vote, and what will influence the way they will vote. The fieldwork for the polling was early to mid February, so well before the recent contretemps over the debates. So David Cameron’s non appearance in the debates could fundamentally damage the Tories as we can see from the above…

Read More Read More

Nigel Farage’s offer to support a minority Conservative Government is a 2015 referendum

Nigel Farage’s offer to support a minority Conservative Government is a 2015 referendum

Comments 0 Comment

As part of Nigel Farage’s book being serialised in the Telegraph, The UK Independence Party leader says that he is willing to make a deal with the Tories on the condition that they hold an EU referendum before Christmas. The detailed plans for a hung parliament set out that Ukip and Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party would work together to support the Conservatives on a vote by vote basis. Ukip – forecast to gain up to six seats in the…

Read More Read More

YouGov Scotland poll see Labour fail to improve

YouGov Scotland poll see Labour fail to improve

Comments 0 Comment

Labour are still on course for a shellacking in Scotland come May. Jim Murphy isn’t turning to be the great hope that Labour were hoping he would be. YouGov Times in Scoltand: Drop in Jim Murphy's approval. % thinking he's doing well as Labour leader 26%, down from 33% on Feb 1 — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) March 12, 2015 Turning this poll into a seat projection the Times says YouGov / Scotland – if uniform swing, SNP would win 48…

Read More Read More

The polling finds David Cameron would get the blame were the debates not to take place

The polling finds David Cameron would get the blame were the debates not to take place

Comments 0 Comment

But do the public understand Cameron’s strategy and tactics over the debates? The polling by YouGov on the debates doesn’t make for good reading for David Cameron, such as 50% think David Cameron is scared to debate other party leaders. whilst 38% mostly blame Cameron for the stalemate over the debates, whilst 13% mostly blame the broadcasters, and below, David Cameron doesn’t come off as sincere in regards to the debates. Findings by @YouGov on the debates https://t.co/ywStD45I7b pic.twitter.com/A6iuBX1f4z — TSE…

Read More Read More

Does this explain the Tory optimism about May

Does this explain the Tory optimism about May

Comments 0 Comment

“Labour voters are also generally lukewarm about their leader in a way that Conservatives are not about theirs.” – Opinium The above chart shows how well Dave and badly Ed do among their own supporters, as other pollsters generally find as well. I’m of the view, that Ed’s poor ratings are priced into the voting intention, and that the voting intention is largely correct. We’re going to find out in nine weeks time if it is priced in or not….

Read More Read More