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Author: TSE

Situation critical. How the NHS could affect the path of Brexit

Situation critical. How the NHS could affect the path of Brexit

That £350m “commitment” could be damaging The debate in Britain about health spending is fundamentally dishonest.  The left constantly press for large increases in spending.  The government constantly boasts about ever-increasing spending at or above inflation levels.  Voices on the right frequently argue for scaling back the health services that the public sector provides.  None of them address what Britain needs. Britain’s health needs are growing at a rate far faster than inflation, even if one uses measures of healthcare…

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This analysis might well disprove the theory of Shy Trumpers

This analysis might well disprove the theory of Shy Trumpers

Also Trump didn't over-perform his polls in the primary. If anything the opposite happened. pic.twitter.com/UFVO6BvRLe — (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 22, 2016 If there are ‘Shy Trumpers’ you’d expect Donald Trump to have outperformed the polls during the primaries and caucuses. One of the more interesting theories posited during this White House race on why Donald Trump will become President is that the polls are wrong because there are shy Trumpers not being picked up in the polls. With Donald…

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The EU moves on

The EU moves on

Embed from Getty Images Anyone who has been dumped will know the problem: what do you do next?  Bridget Jones was faced with exactly this dilemma.  She saw that she had two choices: to give up and accept permanent state of spinsterhood and eventual eating by Alsatians, or not. The rest of the European Union has just been dumped by Britain.  It faces much the same dilemma as Bridget Jones faced.  And like Bridget Jones, it is choosing not. Bridget…

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Betting on will Donald Trump accept the election result

Betting on will Donald Trump accept the election result

Paddy Power have a market up on will Donald Trump accept the result of Presidential election, the exact wording of the bet is ‘Donald Trump to publicly confirm he accepts the result of the poll at the post election rally.’ Given his comments from earlier on this week, the only way I can see Trump accepting the result of the election is if he wins it, so you’d be better off betting on him winning the White House Race where…

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White House race turnout betting

White House race turnout betting

Paddy Power and Betfair have markets up on the turnout on the White House race, I’m not sure what the level of turnout will be, I can see given the polarising nature of the candidates, and especially with the fervour of Trumpers, with 40% of Trump supporters in Florida telling PPP that they thought Hillary Clinton was a demon turnout will be up from the 2012. Another boost for turnout on both sides should be Trump saying in last night’s debate…

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Another debate, another victory for Hillary

Another debate, another victory for Hillary

The CNN/ORB instant post debate poll gives it to Clinton by 52% to 39%https://t.co/MYRI389v8l pic.twitter.com/33cNuEO7xK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 20, 2016 YouGov US debate poll also gives it to Clinton by clear margin pic.twitter.com/zLZ05vNfEA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 20, 2016 But was this the zinger of debate season? 'I brought bin Laden to justice while you hosted Celebrity Apprentice' #debatenighthttps://t.co/PufKDReglc pic.twitter.com/OK8GMFGVPG — ITV News (@itvnews) October 20, 2016 Clinton's now 84% post debate, up from 82% pre debate….

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Ahead of the final debate Betfair gives Trump just a 16% chance of being next President

Ahead of the final debate Betfair gives Trump just a 16% chance of being next President

Before the start of the third & final debate, Betfair gives Trump a 16% chance of being next President, what will it be in the morning? pic.twitter.com/ci50QuQzRr — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 19, 2016 Trump NEEDS to win tonight (and then for a lot of other things to start going his way):https://t.co/OeWCLyqfFr — 538 politics (@538politics) October 19, 2016 Prediction: By not lighting himself on fire, press will say "Trump wins debate, race 2 close". But battlegrds will stay locked 4…

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Latest Ipsos Mori polling sees the Tories with an 18 (eighteen) point lead

Latest Ipsos Mori polling sees the Tories with an 18 (eighteen) point lead

Surely on these figures the Tories should comfortably hold Witney tomorrow with an increased share of the vote? New @IpsosMORI VI poll Con 47% (+7) Lab 29% (-5) LD7% (+1) UKIP 6% (-3) The Tory lead in emojis. 1 emoji = 1% Con lead. ?????????????????? — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 19, 2016 On the approval ratings that are often better predictors of general elections than voting intention figures Oppo ldr approval, 13 mths (MORI):Foot -48Kinnock -15Smith -4Blair +16Hague -25IDS -26Howard -21Cameron…

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