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As the Labour Party’s private research is leaked, there appears to be an inevitability about Corbyn departing before the general election

As the Labour Party’s private research is leaked, there appears to be an inevitability about Corbyn departing before the general election

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Blistering good story by @STJamesl. So BMG focus grouped, Rebecca Bailey-Long, Angela Raynor, and John McDonnell. https://t.co/n6Mf5eEwtr — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 12, 2017 It feels like it is now a question of when Corbyn quits before the next general election, not if. The Sunday Times have a copy of the Labour party’s internal research conducted by their pollsters BMG, it appears there is some succession planning taking place by Corbyn, with a focus group being undertaken on his potential preferred…

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Tory governments age well in the memory. Labour governments turn sour.

Tory governments age well in the memory. Labour governments turn sour.

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No recent Prime Minister was popular as they left office. Each of the last five had net satisfaction scores – the proportion satisfied minus the proportion dissatisfied – below minus 20 points in their final month, according to MORI’s satisfaction data. Thatcher was the most unpopular, with 71% dissatisfied with the job she was doing. The least unpopular was Gordon Brown, who still had the support of 35% before the 2010 election. If the Scotsman’s relative popularity seems surprising, that’s…

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The CON MPs using the Trump visit to oust Bercow have lost their critical faculties

The CON MPs using the Trump visit to oust Bercow have lost their critical faculties

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Cartoon by Helen Cochrane and Nicholas Leonard. It is 9/4 that Bercow will have bowed out of his role as Speaker before Trump’s state visit With Bercow now facing a no confidence move Betway make it a 9/4 chance that he’ll not be in the role by the time of the Trump state visit. I’m far from convinced that the move by some Tory MPs against the former right-wing Bercow is going to succeed. An effort to thwart him was…

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The music stops. Who would grab the chair if Jeremy Corbyn steps down?

The music stops. Who would grab the chair if Jeremy Corbyn steps down?

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Embed from Getty Images Alastair Meeks on the next Labour leader betting market From the start of his leadership of the Labour party, many Labour MPs struggled to contain their doubts about him.  Even before Jeremy Corbyn was elected leader, Mike Gapes was quoted as saying: “I’ll show him as much loyalty as he showed other leaders.”  Within three months, nearly a third of his party including his own shadow Foreign Secretary were in mutiny against his preferred line on…

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Germany, Brexit, an Opinium poll on the PMs of the last 30 years, and Clive Lewis

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Germany, Brexit, an Opinium poll on the PMs of the last 30 years, and Clive Lewis

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In part one, Keiran speaks to German political commentator and elections expect Nina Schick, who explains what we should look out for in German politics, the SPD surge and what the German government wants from Brexit. In part two, Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi to discuss the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey looking at whether the PMs of the past 30 years did a good or bad job and how this compares to current perceptions of Theresa May. Who…

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Why a progressive alliance in Stoke Central might be doomed

Why a progressive alliance in Stoke Central might be doomed

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2015 general election result under different voting systems by The @electoralreform Society https://t.co/Gyvm8kJbyt pic.twitter.com/iMKpYJA6hd — TSE (@TSEofPB) January 24, 2016 Electoral pacts may not help Labour and a progressive alliance Last weekend The Guardian published a story which said ‘Jeremy Corbyn’s team have informally explored the idea of collaborating with the Greens and Liberal Democrats in Stoke-on-Trent Central to keep Paul Nuttall, the Ukip leader, out of parliament. A senior figure in the Labour leader’s office has asked a go-between…

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It’s Clive Lewisn’t a member of the shadow cabinet anymore and becomes favourite to succeed Corbyn

It’s Clive Lewisn’t a member of the shadow cabinet anymore and becomes favourite to succeed Corbyn

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Minutes after he quit the shadow cabinet, Clive Lewis is now 5/1 favourite to be the next Labour leader… pic.twitter.com/GnXamt4bOX — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) February 8, 2017 Lab MPs point out Clive Lewis voted for Govt clause + still resigned. They claim he didn't know what he'd voted for."What a knob" one says — Paul Waugh MP (@paulwaugh) February 8, 2017 But Diane Abbott doesn’t rebel Told Diane Abbott sat on the frontbench for some time, before Keith Vaz took…

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Well this won’t make John Bercow happy but grumpy if only he had been bashful when it came to Trump

Well this won’t make John Bercow happy but grumpy if only he had been bashful when it came to Trump

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Now here's a story. Tory backbencher @JamesDuddridge has just fired off this letter. The #GetBercow move has started. pic.twitter.com/uC0LQf5Nv0 — Paul Waugh MP (@paulwaugh) February 8, 2017 Tory MPs plot to oust Bercow as speaker following his attack on @realDonaldTrump, with no-confidence vote https://t.co/ObVSjtuKVY — Robert Peston (@Peston) February 8, 2017 He’s now 4/1 from 5/1 not to remain Speaker until 2018 with William Hill TSE